WEBVTT Kind: captions Language: en 00:00:04.100 --> 00:00:06.499 align:start position:0% getting<00:00:05.100> an<00:00:05.190> aircraft<00:00:05.669> off<00:00:05.879> the<00:00:06.000> ground<00:00:06.270> is 00:00:06.499 --> 00:00:06.509 align:start position:0% getting an aircraft off the ground is 00:00:06.509 --> 00:00:08.120 align:start position:0% getting an aircraft off the ground is something<00:00:06.899> that<00:00:07.020> millions<00:00:07.229> of<00:00:07.529> passengers 00:00:08.120 --> 00:00:08.130 align:start position:0% something that millions of passengers 00:00:08.130 --> 00:00:11.150 align:start position:0% something that millions of passengers take<00:00:08.340> for<00:00:08.550> granted<00:00:08.760> every<00:00:09.240> day<00:00:09.740> but<00:00:10.740> actually 00:00:11.150 --> 00:00:11.160 align:start position:0% take for granted every day but actually 00:00:11.160 --> 00:00:13.310 align:start position:0% take for granted every day but actually it's<00:00:11.639> quite<00:00:11.910> a<00:00:12.000> complex<00:00:12.480> problem<00:00:12.839> for<00:00:13.230> the 00:00:13.310 --> 00:00:13.320 align:start position:0% it's quite a complex problem for the 00:00:13.320 --> 00:00:16.070 align:start position:0% it's quite a complex problem for the designers<00:00:13.889> of<00:00:14.040> air<00:00:14.190> and<00:00:14.639> for<00:00:15.450> air<00:00:15.629> travel 00:00:16.070 --> 00:00:16.080 align:start position:0% designers of air and for air travel 00:00:16.080 --> 00:00:21.410 align:start position:0% designers of air and for air travel regulators<00:00:19.730> aircraft<00:00:20.730> have<00:00:20.910> to<00:00:21.030> operate 00:00:21.410 --> 00:00:21.420 align:start position:0% regulators aircraft have to operate 00:00:21.420 --> 00:00:23.930 align:start position:0% regulators aircraft have to operate within<00:00:21.630> a<00:00:21.780> wide<00:00:22.020> margin<00:00:22.350> of<00:00:22.770> error<00:00:22.950> to<00:00:23.280> ensure 00:00:23.930 --> 00:00:23.940 align:start position:0% within a wide margin of error to ensure 00:00:23.940 --> 00:00:26.600 align:start position:0% within a wide margin of error to ensure safely<00:00:24.540> and<00:00:24.780> the<00:00:25.380> ability<00:00:25.830> of<00:00:25.920> an<00:00:26.010> airplane<00:00:26.400> to 00:00:26.600 --> 00:00:26.610 align:start position:0% safely and the ability of an airplane to 00:00:26.610 --> 00:00:28.460 align:start position:0% safely and the ability of an airplane to be<00:00:26.760> on<00:00:26.970> airport<00:00:27.390> is<00:00:27.690> affected<00:00:28.290> by<00:00:28.440> many 00:00:28.460 --> 00:00:28.470 align:start position:0% be on airport is affected by many 00:00:28.470 --> 00:00:32.359 align:start position:0% be on airport is affected by many variables<00:00:29.930> the<00:00:30.930> airplane<00:00:31.350> is<00:00:31.650> required<00:00:32.070> to<00:00:32.250> be 00:00:32.359 --> 00:00:32.369 align:start position:0% variables the airplane is required to be 00:00:32.369 --> 00:00:33.680 align:start position:0% variables the airplane is required to be able<00:00:32.430> to<00:00:32.579> accelerate<00:00:33.059> up<00:00:33.090> to<00:00:33.239> what<00:00:33.540> we<00:00:33.660> call 00:00:33.680 --> 00:00:33.690 align:start position:0% able to accelerate up to what we call 00:00:33.690 --> 00:00:36.619 align:start position:0% able to accelerate up to what we call decision<00:00:34.260> speed<00:00:34.500> v1<00:00:34.829> and<00:00:35.280> then<00:00:35.609> stop<00:00:36.059> on<00:00:36.329> the 00:00:36.619 --> 00:00:36.629 align:start position:0% decision speed v1 and then stop on the 00:00:36.629 --> 00:00:38.689 align:start position:0% decision speed v1 and then stop on the available<00:00:36.960> runway<00:00:37.289> the<00:00:38.100> heavier<00:00:38.429> you<00:00:38.670> are 00:00:38.689 --> 00:00:38.699 align:start position:0% available runway the heavier you are 00:00:38.699 --> 00:00:40.970 align:start position:0% available runway the heavier you are obviously<00:00:39.449> the<00:00:40.289> longer<00:00:40.530> it's<00:00:40.739> going<00:00:40.829> to<00:00:40.890> take 00:00:40.970 --> 00:00:40.980 align:start position:0% obviously the longer it's going to take 00:00:40.980 --> 00:00:42.799 align:start position:0% obviously the longer it's going to take to<00:00:41.190> accelerate<00:00:41.670> the<00:00:42.059> faster<00:00:42.420> you<00:00:42.480> have<00:00:42.570> to<00:00:42.690> get 00:00:42.799 --> 00:00:42.809 align:start position:0% to accelerate the faster you have to get 00:00:42.809 --> 00:00:44.180 align:start position:0% to accelerate the faster you have to get going<00:00:42.989> initially<00:00:43.589> anyway<00:00:43.890> since<00:00:44.070> you're 00:00:44.180 --> 00:00:44.190 align:start position:0% going initially anyway since you're 00:00:44.190 --> 00:00:45.439 align:start position:0% going initially anyway since you're carrying<00:00:44.460> more<00:00:44.579> weight<00:00:44.640> off<00:00:44.910> the<00:00:45.030> ground<00:00:45.239> and 00:00:45.439 --> 00:00:45.449 align:start position:0% carrying more weight off the ground and 00:00:45.449 --> 00:00:47.779 align:start position:0% carrying more weight off the ground and the<00:00:45.899> longer<00:00:46.230> it's<00:00:46.320> going<00:00:46.409> to<00:00:46.469> take<00:00:46.559> to<00:00:46.769> stop<00:00:47.010> so 00:00:47.779 --> 00:00:47.789 align:start position:0% the longer it's going to take to stop so 00:00:47.789 --> 00:00:49.220 align:start position:0% the longer it's going to take to stop so if<00:00:47.850> you<00:00:47.940> only<00:00:48.059> have<00:00:48.269> a<00:00:48.510> fixed<00:00:48.960> amount<00:00:49.050> of 00:00:49.220 --> 00:00:49.230 align:start position:0% if you only have a fixed amount of 00:00:49.230 --> 00:00:50.959 align:start position:0% if you only have a fixed amount of runway<00:00:49.589> you're<00:00:50.399> going<00:00:50.519> to<00:00:50.609> have<00:00:50.699> a<00:00:50.730> certain 00:00:50.959 --> 00:00:50.969 align:start position:0% runway you're going to have a certain 00:00:50.969 --> 00:00:52.729 align:start position:0% runway you're going to have a certain weight<00:00:51.239> limit<00:00:51.570> the<00:00:51.929> other<00:00:52.109> requirement<00:00:52.649> that 00:00:52.729 --> 00:00:52.739 align:start position:0% weight limit the other requirement that 00:00:52.739 --> 00:00:53.689 align:start position:0% weight limit the other requirement that we<00:00:52.829> have<00:00:52.859> is<00:00:53.190> we<00:00:53.280> have<00:00:53.370> to<00:00:53.460> be<00:00:53.519> able<00:00:53.609> to 00:00:53.689 --> 00:00:53.699 align:start position:0% we have is we have to be able to 00:00:53.699 --> 00:00:56.479 align:start position:0% we have is we have to be able to maintain<00:00:53.879> a<00:00:54.359> certain<00:00:54.690> clime<00:00:55.409> gradient<00:00:56.010> after 00:00:56.479 --> 00:00:56.489 align:start position:0% maintain a certain clime gradient after 00:00:56.489 --> 00:00:59.270 align:start position:0% maintain a certain clime gradient after takeoff<00:00:56.850> if<00:00:57.179> we<00:00:57.390> lost<00:00:57.629> one<00:00:57.899> engine<00:00:58.280> which 00:00:59.270 --> 00:00:59.280 align:start position:0% takeoff if we lost one engine which 00:00:59.280 --> 00:01:01.459 align:start position:0% takeoff if we lost one engine which means<00:00:59.579> the<00:01:00.089> airplane<00:01:00.539> can<00:01:00.749> only<00:01:00.870> weigh<00:01:01.079> X 00:01:01.459 --> 00:01:01.469 align:start position:0% means the airplane can only weigh X 00:01:01.469 --> 00:01:03.590 align:start position:0% means the airplane can only weigh X amount<00:01:01.829> for<00:01:02.159> a<00:01:02.219> given<00:01:02.550> day<00:01:02.729> it's<00:01:03.089> you<00:01:03.510> know 00:01:03.590 --> 00:01:03.600 align:start position:0% amount for a given day it's you know 00:01:03.600 --> 00:01:05.870 align:start position:0% amount for a given day it's you know certain<00:01:03.929> temperature<00:01:04.320> in<00:01:04.409> elevation<00:01:04.920> the 00:01:05.870 --> 00:01:05.880 align:start position:0% certain temperature in elevation the 00:01:05.880 --> 00:01:09.140 align:start position:0% certain temperature in elevation the airplane<00:01:06.180> will<00:01:06.360> only<00:01:06.450> climb<00:01:06.980> X<00:01:07.980> altitude<00:01:08.880> you 00:01:09.140 --> 00:01:09.150 align:start position:0% airplane will only climb X altitude you 00:01:09.150 --> 00:01:10.760 align:start position:0% airplane will only climb X altitude you know<00:01:09.180> XP<00:01:09.540> per<00:01:09.720> minute<00:01:10.020> based<00:01:10.260> on<00:01:10.470> its<00:01:10.590> weight 00:01:10.760 --> 00:01:10.770 align:start position:0% know XP per minute based on its weight 00:01:10.770 --> 00:01:14.270 align:start position:0% know XP per minute based on its weight the<00:01:11.270> airport<00:01:12.270> in<00:01:12.420> Aspen<00:01:12.870> sits<00:01:13.830> at<00:01:14.040> nearly 00:01:14.270 --> 00:01:14.280 align:start position:0% the airport in Aspen sits at nearly 00:01:14.280 --> 00:01:17.690 align:start position:0% the airport in Aspen sits at nearly 2,400<00:01:15.150> meters<00:01:15.660> above<00:01:16.080> sea<00:01:16.350> level<00:01:16.700> surrounded 00:01:17.690 --> 00:01:17.700 align:start position:0% 2,400 meters above sea level surrounded 00:01:17.700 --> 00:01:20.240 align:start position:0% 2,400 meters above sea level surrounded by<00:01:17.850> high<00:01:18.150> mountain<00:01:18.660> peaks<00:01:19.010> this<00:01:20.010> high 00:01:20.240 --> 00:01:20.250 align:start position:0% by high mountain peaks this high 00:01:20.250 --> 00:01:22.700 align:start position:0% by high mountain peaks this high altitude<00:01:20.430> and<00:01:21.090> terrain<00:01:21.780> makes<00:01:22.080> operating 00:01:22.700 --> 00:01:22.710 align:start position:0% altitude and terrain makes operating 00:01:22.710 --> 00:01:25.970 align:start position:0% altitude and terrain makes operating passenger<00:01:23.220> aircraft<00:01:23.700> quite<00:01:23.970> challenging<00:01:24.980> at 00:01:25.970 --> 00:01:25.980 align:start position:0% passenger aircraft quite challenging at 00:01:25.980 --> 00:01:27.800 align:start position:0% passenger aircraft quite challenging at this<00:01:26.220> altitude<00:01:26.430> aircraft<00:01:27.300> performance 00:01:27.800 --> 00:01:27.810 align:start position:0% this altitude aircraft performance 00:01:27.810 --> 00:01:30.380 align:start position:0% this altitude aircraft performance declines<00:01:28.290> and<00:01:28.620> is<00:01:29.100> affected<00:01:29.550> even<00:01:29.670> more<00:01:30.120> when 00:01:30.380 --> 00:01:30.390 align:start position:0% declines and is affected even more when 00:01:30.390 --> 00:01:33.710 align:start position:0% declines and is affected even more when the<00:01:30.510> temperature<00:01:31.020> rises<00:01:31.970> with<00:01:32.970> less<00:01:33.210> air<00:01:33.420> to 00:01:33.710 --> 00:01:33.720 align:start position:0% the temperature rises with less air to 00:01:33.720 --> 00:01:36.080 align:start position:0% the temperature rises with less air to generate<00:01:34.170> lift<00:01:34.500> and<00:01:34.770> mountains<00:01:35.550> all<00:01:35.700> around 00:01:36.080 --> 00:01:36.090 align:start position:0% generate lift and mountains all around 00:01:36.090 --> 00:01:38.480 align:start position:0% generate lift and mountains all around the<00:01:36.810> performance<00:01:37.320> of<00:01:37.530> the<00:01:37.620> aeroplane<00:01:37.980> becomes 00:01:38.480 --> 00:01:38.490 align:start position:0% the performance of the aeroplane becomes 00:01:38.490 --> 00:01:39.230 align:start position:0% the performance of the aeroplane becomes critical 00:01:39.230 --> 00:01:39.240 align:start position:0% critical 00:01:39.240 --> 00:01:42.350 align:start position:0% critical the<00:01:40.080> FAA<00:01:40.380> requires<00:01:40.890> certain<00:01:41.760> performance 00:01:42.350 --> 00:01:42.360 align:start position:0% the FAA requires certain performance 00:01:42.360 --> 00:01:44.480 align:start position:0% the FAA requires certain performance minimums<00:01:42.780> out<00:01:43.230> of<00:01:43.440> all<00:01:43.560> the<00:01:43.680> airplanes<00:01:43.950> and<00:01:44.400> in 00:01:44.480 --> 00:01:44.490 align:start position:0% minimums out of all the airplanes and in 00:01:44.490 --> 00:01:46.190 align:start position:0% minimums out of all the airplanes and in to<00:01:44.610> meet<00:01:44.820> that<00:01:45.060> performance<00:01:45.630> requirement 00:01:46.190 --> 00:01:46.200 align:start position:0% to meet that performance requirement 00:01:46.200 --> 00:01:48.650 align:start position:0% to meet that performance requirement when<00:01:46.800> it<00:01:46.920> gets<00:01:47.070> warm<00:01:47.400> and<00:01:47.700> at<00:01:47.940> high<00:01:48.060> elevations 00:01:48.650 --> 00:01:48.660 align:start position:0% when it gets warm and at high elevations 00:01:48.660 --> 00:01:50.540 align:start position:0% when it gets warm and at high elevations airplanes<00:01:49.170> have<00:01:49.320> to<00:01:49.410> leave<00:01:49.620> weight<00:01:49.830> behind<00:01:50.070> in 00:01:50.540 --> 00:01:50.550 align:start position:0% airplanes have to leave weight behind in 00:01:50.550 --> 00:01:52.430 align:start position:0% airplanes have to leave weight behind in order<00:01:50.730> to<00:01:50.820> make<00:01:51.000> that<00:01:51.180> so<00:01:51.960> the<00:01:52.050> warmer<00:01:52.350> it<00:01:52.410> gets 00:01:52.430 --> 00:01:52.440 align:start position:0% order to make that so the warmer it gets 00:01:52.440 --> 00:01:54.710 align:start position:0% order to make that so the warmer it gets the<00:01:52.800> less<00:01:53.460> weight<00:01:53.760> that<00:01:54.120> an<00:01:54.240> airplane<00:01:54.570> can 00:01:54.710 --> 00:01:54.720 align:start position:0% the less weight that an airplane can 00:01:54.720 --> 00:01:56.260 align:start position:0% the less weight that an airplane can takeoff<00:01:55.050> at<00:01:55.320> and<00:01:55.530> at<00:01:55.590> the<00:01:55.710> same<00:01:55.920> altitude 00:01:56.260 --> 00:01:56.270 align:start position:0% takeoff at and at the same altitude 00:01:56.270 --> 00:01:59.720 align:start position:0% takeoff at and at the same altitude essentially<00:01:57.270> and<00:01:57.890> being<00:01:58.890> up<00:01:59.010> at<00:01:59.130> 8,000<00:01:59.580> feet 00:01:59.720 --> 00:01:59.730 align:start position:0% essentially and being up at 8,000 feet 00:01:59.730 --> 00:02:01.880 align:start position:0% essentially and being up at 8,000 feet that<00:02:00.240> means<00:02:00.540> a<00:02:00.750> lot<00:02:01.020> of<00:02:01.230> times<00:02:01.500> especially 00:02:01.880 --> 00:02:01.890 align:start position:0% that means a lot of times especially 00:02:01.890 --> 00:02:04.340 align:start position:0% that means a lot of times especially during<00:02:02.370> the<00:02:02.490> summers<00:02:02.960> the<00:02:03.960> commercial 00:02:04.340 --> 00:02:04.350 align:start position:0% during the summers the commercial 00:02:04.350 --> 00:02:05.750 align:start position:0% during the summers the commercial airlines<00:02:04.680> are<00:02:04.860> limited<00:02:05.310> in<00:02:05.400> the<00:02:05.460> maximum 00:02:05.750 --> 00:02:05.760 align:start position:0% airlines are limited in the maximum 00:02:05.760 --> 00:02:07.460 align:start position:0% airlines are limited in the maximum weight<00:02:06.000> they<00:02:06.180> can<00:02:06.210> carry<00:02:06.720> obviously<00:02:07.350> you 00:02:07.460 --> 00:02:07.470 align:start position:0% weight they can carry obviously you 00:02:07.470 --> 00:02:10.069 align:start position:0% weight they can carry obviously you can't<00:02:07.740> shave<00:02:08.250> off<00:02:08.459> much<00:02:08.729> fuel<00:02:09.119> so<00:02:09.869> the<00:02:09.989> only 00:02:10.069 --> 00:02:10.079 align:start position:0% can't shave off much fuel so the only 00:02:10.079 --> 00:02:12.309 align:start position:0% can't shave off much fuel so the only thing<00:02:10.319> leave<00:02:10.499> behind<00:02:10.649> is<00:02:11.039> people<00:02:11.549> in<00:02:11.640> baggage 00:02:12.309 --> 00:02:12.319 align:start position:0% thing leave behind is people in baggage 00:02:12.319 --> 00:02:15.190 align:start position:0% thing leave behind is people in baggage and<00:02:12.860> that's<00:02:13.069> what<00:02:13.189> they<00:02:13.280> have<00:02:13.370> to<00:02:13.489> do<00:02:14.140> as<00:02:15.140> a 00:02:15.190 --> 00:02:15.200 align:start position:0% and that's what they have to do as a 00:02:15.200 --> 00:02:17.830 align:start position:0% and that's what they have to do as a consequence<00:02:15.829> commercial<00:02:16.790> aircraft<00:02:17.269> must 00:02:17.830 --> 00:02:17.840 align:start position:0% consequence commercial aircraft must 00:02:17.840 --> 00:02:20.860 align:start position:0% consequence commercial aircraft must leave<00:02:18.019> passengers<00:02:18.709> behind<00:02:19.480> what's<00:02:20.480> a<00:02:20.629> safe 00:02:20.860 --> 00:02:20.870 align:start position:0% leave passengers behind what's a safe 00:02:20.870 --> 00:02:24.789 align:start position:0% leave passengers behind what's a safe number<00:02:21.349> of<00:02:21.500> people<00:02:22.390> to<00:02:23.390> work<00:02:23.510> this<00:02:23.719> out<00:02:23.900> we 00:02:24.789 --> 00:02:24.799 align:start position:0% number of people to work this out we 00:02:24.799 --> 00:02:27.699 align:start position:0% number of people to work this out we have<00:02:24.980> to<00:02:25.129> appreciate<00:02:25.700> the<00:02:25.879> idea<00:02:26.030> of<00:02:26.510> a<00:02:27.140> normal 00:02:27.699 --> 00:02:27.709 align:start position:0% have to appreciate the idea of a normal 00:02:27.709 --> 00:02:33.099 align:start position:0% have to appreciate the idea of a normal distribution<00:02:31.420> people<00:02:32.420> on<00:02:32.540> average<00:02:32.689> are 00:02:33.099 --> 00:02:33.109 align:start position:0% distribution people on average are 00:02:33.109 --> 00:02:35.920 align:start position:0% distribution people on average are getting<00:02:33.349> bigger<00:02:34.180> indeed<00:02:35.180> according<00:02:35.450> to<00:02:35.720> one 00:02:35.920 --> 00:02:35.930 align:start position:0% getting bigger indeed according to one 00:02:35.930 --> 00:02:38.110 align:start position:0% getting bigger indeed according to one recent<00:02:36.170> study<00:02:36.500> one<00:02:37.220> in<00:02:37.250> ten<00:02:37.640> of<00:02:37.670> the<00:02:37.909> world's 00:02:38.110 --> 00:02:38.120 align:start position:0% recent study one in ten of the world's 00:02:38.120 --> 00:02:41.259 align:start position:0% recent study one in ten of the world's adults<00:02:38.750> is<00:02:38.959> obese<00:02:39.220> that<00:02:40.220> is<00:02:40.400> having<00:02:40.879> a<00:02:41.030> body 00:02:41.259 --> 00:02:41.269 align:start position:0% adults is obese that is having a body 00:02:41.269 --> 00:02:45.569 align:start position:0% adults is obese that is having a body mass<00:02:41.599> index<00:02:41.629> or<00:02:42.349> BMI<00:02:42.879> at<00:02:43.879> more<00:02:44.180> than<00:02:44.329> 30 00:02:45.569 --> 00:02:45.579 align:start position:0% mass index or BMI at more than 30 00:02:45.579 --> 00:02:48.929 align:start position:0% mass index or BMI at more than 30 researchers<00:02:46.579> have<00:02:46.730> studied<00:02:47.150> body<00:02:47.689> mass<00:02:47.989> index 00:02:48.929 --> 00:02:48.939 align:start position:0% researchers have studied body mass index 00:02:48.939 --> 00:02:52.379 align:start position:0% researchers have studied body mass index cholesterol<00:02:49.939> levels<00:02:50.389> blood<00:02:51.260> pressure<00:02:51.739> and 00:02:52.379 --> 00:02:52.389 align:start position:0% cholesterol levels blood pressure and 00:02:52.389 --> 00:02:54.509 align:start position:0% cholesterol levels blood pressure and tended<00:02:53.389> to<00:02:53.419> find<00:02:53.689> it<00:02:53.900> in<00:02:53.989> many<00:02:54.200> countries 00:02:54.509 --> 00:02:54.519 align:start position:0% tended to find it in many countries 00:02:54.519 --> 00:02:57.789 align:start position:0% tended to find it in many countries blood<00:02:55.519> pressure<00:02:55.909> and<00:02:56.269> cholesterol<00:02:57.019> levels 00:02:57.789 --> 00:02:57.799 align:start position:0% blood pressure and cholesterol levels 00:02:57.799 --> 00:03:01.030 align:start position:0% blood pressure and cholesterol levels have<00:02:58.400> been<00:02:58.579> falling<00:02:59.349> but<00:03:00.349> the<00:03:00.500> body<00:03:00.709> mass 00:03:01.030 --> 00:03:01.040 align:start position:0% have been falling but the body mass 00:03:01.040 --> 00:03:05.110 align:start position:0% have been falling but the body mass index<00:03:01.519> has<00:03:02.389> tended<00:03:02.720> to<00:03:02.750> rise<00:03:03.109> in<00:03:03.709> the<00:03:04.519> UK<00:03:04.879> for 00:03:05.110 --> 00:03:05.120 align:start position:0% index has tended to rise in the UK for 00:03:05.120 --> 00:03:06.640 align:start position:0% index has tended to rise in the UK for example<00:03:05.629> the<00:03:05.720> proportion<00:03:06.260> of<00:03:06.319> the<00:03:06.470> population 00:03:06.640 --> 00:03:06.650 align:start position:0% example the proportion of the population 00:03:06.650 --> 00:03:10.400 align:start position:0% example the proportion of the population that's<00:03:07.310> obese<00:03:07.730> has<00:03:08.329> more<00:03:08.599> than<00:03:08.720> doubled 00:03:10.400 --> 00:03:10.410 align:start position:0% that's obese has more than doubled 00:03:10.410 --> 00:03:12.950 align:start position:0% that's obese has more than doubled it's<00:03:10.980> easy<00:03:11.220> to<00:03:11.460> test<00:03:11.700> whether<00:03:12.510> medics 00:03:12.950 --> 00:03:12.960 align:start position:0% it's easy to test whether medics 00:03:12.960 --> 00:03:16.520 align:start position:0% it's easy to test whether medics consider<00:03:13.440> your<00:03:13.740> obese<00:03:14.160> overweight<00:03:15.530> healthy 00:03:16.520 --> 00:03:16.530 align:start position:0% consider your obese overweight healthy 00:03:16.530 --> 00:03:19.490 align:start position:0% consider your obese overweight healthy or<00:03:16.830> underweight<00:03:17.400> and<00:03:17.790> says<00:03:18.180> hey<00:03:18.450> 50p<00:03:19.440> to 00:03:19.490 --> 00:03:19.500 align:start position:0% or underweight and says hey 50p to 00:03:19.500 --> 00:03:24.170 align:start position:0% or underweight and says hey 50p to measure<00:03:19.860> weight<00:03:20.400> high<00:03:20.700> and<00:03:20.970> BMI<00:03:21.510> or<00:03:22.970> I'll<00:03:23.970> be 00:03:24.170 --> 00:03:24.180 align:start position:0% measure weight high and BMI or I'll be 00:03:24.180 --> 00:03:27.980 align:start position:0% measure weight high and BMI or I'll be mild<00:03:25.190> eighteen<00:03:26.190> point<00:03:26.460> five<00:03:26.700> to<00:03:26.940> 25<00:03:27.300> is 00:03:27.980 --> 00:03:27.990 align:start position:0% mild eighteen point five to 25 is 00:03:27.990 --> 00:03:31.490 align:start position:0% mild eighteen point five to 25 is considered<00:03:28.470> healthy<00:03:29.510> 25<00:03:30.510> to<00:03:30.720> 30<00:03:31.290> is 00:03:31.490 --> 00:03:31.500 align:start position:0% considered healthy 25 to 30 is 00:03:31.500 --> 00:03:37.130 align:start position:0% considered healthy 25 to 30 is overweight<00:03:32.420> over<00:03:33.420> 30<00:03:33.810> is<00:03:34.500> obese<00:03:35.930> let's<00:03:36.930> see 00:03:37.130 --> 00:03:37.140 align:start position:0% overweight over 30 is obese let's see 00:03:37.140 --> 00:03:47.500 align:start position:0% overweight over 30 is obese let's see what<00:03:37.350> happens 00:03:47.500 --> 00:03:47.510 align:start position:0% 00:03:47.510 --> 00:03:50.870 align:start position:0% you<00:03:48.510> can<00:03:48.660> find<00:03:48.900> your<00:03:49.020> BMI<00:03:49.530> by<00:03:50.340> taking<00:03:50.760> your 00:03:50.870 --> 00:03:50.880 align:start position:0% you can find your BMI by taking your 00:03:50.880 --> 00:03:53.690 align:start position:0% you can find your BMI by taking your weight<00:03:51.240> in<00:03:51.480> kilograms<00:03:51.720> and<00:03:52.520> dividing<00:03:53.520> by<00:03:53.670> the 00:03:53.690 --> 00:03:53.700 align:start position:0% weight in kilograms and dividing by the 00:03:53.700 --> 00:03:58.220 align:start position:0% weight in kilograms and dividing by the square<00:03:54.000> of<00:03:54.480> your<00:03:54.690> height<00:03:54.990> in<00:03:55.230> meters<00:03:56.630> and<00:03:57.630> BMI 00:03:58.220 --> 00:03:58.230 align:start position:0% square of your height in meters and BMI 00:03:58.230 --> 00:04:03.170 align:start position:0% square of your height in meters and BMI equals<00:03:59.160> W<00:04:00.120> over<00:04:00.810> H<00:04:01.020> squared<00:04:01.640> where<00:04:02.640> BMI<00:04:03.120> is 00:04:03.170 --> 00:04:03.180 align:start position:0% equals W over H squared where BMI is 00:04:03.180 --> 00:04:07.370 align:start position:0% equals W over H squared where BMI is body<00:04:03.630> mass<00:04:03.720> index<00:04:04.910> W<00:04:05.910> equals<00:04:06.450> weight<00:04:06.959> in<00:04:07.170> kilos 00:04:07.370 --> 00:04:07.380 align:start position:0% body mass index W equals weight in kilos 00:04:07.380 --> 00:04:14.260 align:start position:0% body mass index W equals weight in kilos and<00:04:08.300> the<00:04:09.300> height<00:04:10.130> H<00:04:11.130> is<00:04:11.820> the<00:04:12.240> height<00:04:12.420> in<00:04:12.660> meters 00:04:14.260 --> 00:04:14.270 align:start position:0% and the height H is the height in meters 00:04:14.270 --> 00:04:19.159 align:start position:0% and the height H is the height in meters so<00:04:15.270> I<00:04:15.300> weigh<00:04:15.690> 79<00:04:16.590> kilograms<00:04:17.220> and<00:04:17.549> I'm<00:04:18.299> 1.8 00:04:19.159 --> 00:04:19.169 align:start position:0% so I weigh 79 kilograms and I'm 1.8 00:04:19.169 --> 00:04:24.980 align:start position:0% so I weigh 79 kilograms and I'm 1.8 meters<00:04:19.620> high<00:04:19.950> so<00:04:20.540> my<00:04:21.540> BMI<00:04:22.290> is<00:04:23.419> W<00:04:24.419> over<00:04:24.810> H 00:04:24.980 --> 00:04:24.990 align:start position:0% meters high so my BMI is W over H 00:04:24.990 --> 00:04:29.170 align:start position:0% meters high so my BMI is W over H squared<00:04:25.880> which<00:04:26.880> equals<00:04:27.240> 79<00:04:28.110> over 00:04:29.170 --> 00:04:29.180 align:start position:0% squared which equals 79 over 00:04:29.180 --> 00:04:39.470 align:start position:0% squared which equals 79 over 1.8<00:04:30.180> squared<00:04:31.130> which<00:04:32.130> equals<00:04:32.990> 24.4<00:04:38.090> so<00:04:39.090> I<00:04:39.120> need 00:04:39.470 --> 00:04:39.480 align:start position:0% 1.8 squared which equals 24.4 so I need 00:04:39.480 --> 00:04:41.600 align:start position:0% 1.8 squared which equals 24.4 so I need to<00:04:39.600> be<00:04:39.720> very<00:04:39.960> careful<00:04:40.470> now<00:04:40.590> if<00:04:40.890> I<00:04:41.100> have<00:04:41.220> to<00:04:41.340> stay 00:04:41.600 --> 00:04:41.610 align:start position:0% to be very careful now if I have to stay 00:04:41.610 --> 00:04:44.680 align:start position:0% to be very careful now if I have to stay healthy 00:04:44.680 --> 00:04:44.690 align:start position:0% 00:04:44.690 --> 00:04:47.420 align:start position:0% although<00:04:45.690> obesity<00:04:46.290> rates<00:04:46.530> in<00:04:46.710> many<00:04:46.950> countries 00:04:47.420 --> 00:04:47.430 align:start position:0% although obesity rates in many countries 00:04:47.430 --> 00:04:49.130 align:start position:0% although obesity rates in many countries across<00:04:47.550> the<00:04:47.760> world<00:04:47.940> are<00:04:48.360> increasing<00:04:48.990> and 00:04:49.130 --> 00:04:49.140 align:start position:0% across the world are increasing and 00:04:49.140 --> 00:04:51.800 align:start position:0% across the world are increasing and although<00:04:50.010> obesity<00:04:50.820> is<00:04:50.940> linked<00:04:51.210> to<00:04:51.360> high<00:04:51.540> blood 00:04:51.800 --> 00:04:51.810 align:start position:0% although obesity is linked to high blood 00:04:51.810 --> 00:04:54.469 align:start position:0% although obesity is linked to high blood pressure<00:04:51.930> and<00:04:52.560> cholesterol<00:04:53.210> mean<00:04:54.210> average 00:04:54.469 --> 00:04:54.479 align:start position:0% pressure and cholesterol mean average 00:04:54.479 --> 00:04:56.300 align:start position:0% pressure and cholesterol mean average blood<00:04:55.020> pressure<00:04:55.380> and<00:04:55.680> cholesterol<00:04:55.890> levels 00:04:56.300 --> 00:04:56.310 align:start position:0% blood pressure and cholesterol levels 00:04:56.310 --> 00:05:00.520 align:start position:0% blood pressure and cholesterol levels have<00:04:57.300> fallen<00:04:57.540> in<00:04:57.810> some<00:04:58.020> parts<00:04:58.350> of<00:04:58.440> the<00:04:58.500> world 00:05:00.520 --> 00:05:00.530 align:start position:0% have fallen in some parts of the world 00:05:00.530 --> 00:05:04.300 align:start position:0% have fallen in some parts of the world not<00:05:01.530> everyone<00:05:02.010> is<00:05:02.160> overweight<00:05:03.030> indeed<00:05:03.690> summer 00:05:04.300 --> 00:05:04.310 align:start position:0% not everyone is overweight indeed summer 00:05:04.310 --> 00:05:08.060 align:start position:0% not everyone is overweight indeed summer unhealthily<00:05:05.310> underweight<00:05:06.030> I<00:05:06.830> already<00:05:07.830> look 00:05:08.060 --> 00:05:08.070 align:start position:0% unhealthily underweight I already look 00:05:08.070 --> 00:05:10.610 align:start position:0% unhealthily underweight I already look like<00:05:08.100> if<00:05:08.460> we<00:05:08.610> took<00:05:08.820> the<00:05:09.060> BMI<00:05:09.930> for<00:05:09.990> the<00:05:10.320> whole 00:05:10.610 --> 00:05:10.620 align:start position:0% like if we took the BMI for the whole 00:05:10.620 --> 00:05:13.810 align:start position:0% like if we took the BMI for the whole population<00:05:10.919> and<00:05:11.690> plotted<00:05:12.690> that<00:05:12.720> distribution 00:05:13.810 --> 00:05:13.820 align:start position:0% population and plotted that distribution 00:05:13.820 --> 00:05:16.340 align:start position:0% population and plotted that distribution many<00:05:14.820> would<00:05:15.060> cluster<00:05:15.540> around<00:05:15.660> the<00:05:16.020> mean 00:05:16.340 --> 00:05:16.350 align:start position:0% many would cluster around the mean 00:05:16.350 --> 00:05:18.800 align:start position:0% many would cluster around the mean average<00:05:16.800> weight<00:05:17.040> some<00:05:17.790> below<00:05:18.090> average<00:05:18.270> and 00:05:18.800 --> 00:05:18.810 align:start position:0% average weight some below average and 00:05:18.810 --> 00:05:22.790 align:start position:0% average weight some below average and some<00:05:19.110> above<00:05:19.410> a<00:05:19.820> few<00:05:20.820> way<00:05:21.150> below<00:05:21.570> and<00:05:21.840> a<00:05:22.320> few<00:05:22.560> way 00:05:22.790 --> 00:05:22.800 align:start position:0% some above a few way below and a few way 00:05:22.800 --> 00:05:26.120 align:start position:0% some above a few way below and a few way above<00:05:24.020> so<00:05:25.020> this<00:05:25.200> is<00:05:25.320> what<00:05:25.470> the<00:05:25.620> picture<00:05:25.770> would 00:05:26.120 --> 00:05:26.130 align:start position:0% above so this is what the picture would 00:05:26.130 --> 00:05:29.180 align:start position:0% above so this is what the picture would be<00:05:26.160> like<00:05:26.550> with<00:05:27.270> a<00:05:27.300> mean<00:05:27.630> average<00:05:27.900> BMI<00:05:28.410> for<00:05:29.040> many 00:05:29.180 --> 00:05:29.190 align:start position:0% be like with a mean average BMI for many 00:05:29.190 --> 00:05:33.620 align:start position:0% be like with a mean average BMI for many societies<00:05:29.820> of<00:05:29.880> above<00:05:30.360> 25<00:05:30.990> as<00:05:32.090> the<00:05:33.090> BMI<00:05:33.570> the 00:05:33.620 --> 00:05:33.630 align:start position:0% societies of above 25 as the BMI the 00:05:33.630 --> 00:05:36.080 align:start position:0% societies of above 25 as the BMI the value<00:05:34.169> of<00:05:34.290> the<00:05:34.440> variable<00:05:35.010> increases<00:05:35.610> from 00:05:36.080 --> 00:05:36.090 align:start position:0% value of the variable increases from 00:05:36.090 --> 00:05:39.020 align:start position:0% value of the variable increases from very<00:05:36.300> low<00:05:36.570> levels<00:05:36.930> so<00:05:37.800> the<00:05:37.950> number<00:05:38.310> of<00:05:38.460> people 00:05:39.020 --> 00:05:39.030 align:start position:0% very low levels so the number of people 00:05:39.030 --> 00:05:41.050 align:start position:0% very low levels so the number of people the<00:05:39.240> frequency<00:05:39.840> of<00:05:39.960> the<00:05:40.080> observations 00:05:41.050 --> 00:05:41.060 align:start position:0% the frequency of the observations 00:05:41.060 --> 00:05:45.440 align:start position:0% the frequency of the observations increases<00:05:42.650> the<00:05:43.650> BMI<00:05:44.100> that<00:05:44.310> occurs<00:05:44.640> with<00:05:45.330> the 00:05:45.440 --> 00:05:45.450 align:start position:0% increases the BMI that occurs with the 00:05:45.450 --> 00:05:47.150 align:start position:0% increases the BMI that occurs with the greatest<00:05:45.870> frequency<00:05:46.110> as<00:05:46.590> where<00:05:46.800> the<00:05:46.919> curve 00:05:47.150 --> 00:05:47.160 align:start position:0% greatest frequency as where the curve 00:05:47.160 --> 00:05:51.140 align:start position:0% greatest frequency as where the curve reaches<00:05:47.610> its<00:05:47.760> maximum<00:05:48.919> so<00:05:49.919> the<00:05:50.040> mode<00:05:50.310> is<00:05:51.030> the 00:05:51.140 --> 00:05:51.150 align:start position:0% reaches its maximum so the mode is the 00:05:51.150 --> 00:05:55.850 align:start position:0% reaches its maximum so the mode is the same<00:05:51.539> as<00:05:51.720> the<00:05:51.840> mean<00:05:53.210> beyond<00:05:54.210> that<00:05:54.500> the<00:05:55.500> number 00:05:55.850 --> 00:05:55.860 align:start position:0% same as the mean beyond that the number 00:05:55.860 --> 00:05:57.170 align:start position:0% same as the mean beyond that the number of<00:05:55.950> observations 00:05:57.170 --> 00:05:57.180 align:start position:0% of observations 00:05:57.180 --> 00:06:00.190 align:start position:0% of observations declines 00:06:00.190 --> 00:06:00.200 align:start position:0% 00:06:00.200 --> 00:06:02.690 align:start position:0% indeed<00:06:01.200> weight<00:06:01.470> would<00:06:01.710> conform<00:06:02.100> to<00:06:02.340> the<00:06:02.460> same 00:06:02.690 --> 00:06:02.700 align:start position:0% indeed weight would conform to the same 00:06:02.700 --> 00:06:05.000 align:start position:0% indeed weight would conform to the same general<00:06:03.300> pattern<00:06:03.510> with<00:06:04.410> a<00:06:04.440> mean<00:06:04.740> weight<00:06:04.980> of 00:06:05.000 --> 00:06:05.010 align:start position:0% general pattern with a mean weight of 00:06:05.010 --> 00:06:09.050 align:start position:0% general pattern with a mean weight of around<00:06:05.550> 80<00:06:05.880> kilograms<00:06:07.730> cholesterol<00:06:08.730> levels 00:06:09.050 --> 00:06:09.060 align:start position:0% around 80 kilograms cholesterol levels 00:06:09.060 --> 00:06:11.240 align:start position:0% around 80 kilograms cholesterol levels and<00:06:09.210> as<00:06:10.020> we'll<00:06:10.230> see<00:06:10.440> in<00:06:10.560> the<00:06:10.650> next<00:06:10.800> film<00:06:11.130> a 00:06:11.240 --> 00:06:11.250 align:start position:0% and as we'll see in the next film a 00:06:11.250 --> 00:06:13.550 align:start position:0% and as we'll see in the next film a great<00:06:11.460> many<00:06:11.760> other<00:06:11.970> things<00:06:12.210> come<00:06:12.960> close<00:06:13.290> to 00:06:13.550 --> 00:06:13.560 align:start position:0% great many other things come close to 00:06:13.560 --> 00:06:16.550 align:start position:0% great many other things come close to doing<00:06:13.740> so<00:06:14.040> as<00:06:14.190> well<00:06:14.870> this<00:06:15.870> normal 00:06:16.550 --> 00:06:16.560 align:start position:0% doing so as well this normal 00:06:16.560 --> 00:06:19.370 align:start position:0% doing so as well this normal distribution<00:06:16.920> or<00:06:17.460> Gaussian<00:06:18.000> distribution<00:06:18.840> as 00:06:19.370 --> 00:06:19.380 align:start position:0% distribution or Gaussian distribution as 00:06:19.380 --> 00:06:23.230 align:start position:0% distribution or Gaussian distribution as it's<00:06:19.560> sometimes<00:06:19.980> called<00:06:20.250> is<00:06:20.600> a<00:06:21.600> bell<00:06:22.230> curve 00:06:23.230 --> 00:06:23.240 align:start position:0% it's sometimes called is a bell curve 00:06:23.240 --> 00:06:27.050 align:start position:0% it's sometimes called is a bell curve because<00:06:24.240> the<00:06:24.780> bell<00:06:25.170> describes<00:06:25.890> its<00:06:26.130> shape<00:06:26.460> if 00:06:27.050 --> 00:06:27.060 align:start position:0% because the bell describes its shape if 00:06:27.060 --> 00:06:29.750 align:start position:0% because the bell describes its shape if the<00:06:28.020> great<00:06:28.230> majority<00:06:28.590> of<00:06:28.830> observations<00:06:29.610> are 00:06:29.750 --> 00:06:29.760 align:start position:0% the great majority of observations are 00:06:29.760 --> 00:06:31.490 align:start position:0% the great majority of observations are close<00:06:29.940> to<00:06:30.150> the<00:06:30.270> mean<00:06:30.510> then<00:06:31.050> we'll<00:06:31.290> have<00:06:31.470> a 00:06:31.490 --> 00:06:31.500 align:start position:0% close to the mean then we'll have a 00:06:31.500 --> 00:06:34.760 align:start position:0% close to the mean then we'll have a narrower<00:06:32.190> higher<00:06:32.790> curve<00:06:33.300> with<00:06:34.200> a<00:06:34.230> relatively 00:06:34.760 --> 00:06:34.770 align:start position:0% narrower higher curve with a relatively 00:06:34.770 --> 00:06:38.000 align:start position:0% narrower higher curve with a relatively low<00:06:35.130> standard<00:06:35.670> deviation<00:06:36.300> if<00:06:37.010> many 00:06:38.000 --> 00:06:38.010 align:start position:0% low standard deviation if many 00:06:38.010 --> 00:06:39.770 align:start position:0% low standard deviation if many observations<00:06:38.370> are<00:06:38.850> some<00:06:39.030> distance<00:06:39.390> from<00:06:39.600> the 00:06:39.770 --> 00:06:39.780 align:start position:0% observations are some distance from the 00:06:39.780 --> 00:06:42.110 align:start position:0% observations are some distance from the mean<00:06:39.960> the<00:06:40.500> curve<00:06:40.740> will<00:06:40.950> be<00:06:41.070> lower<00:06:41.310> and<00:06:41.550> broader 00:06:42.110 --> 00:06:42.120 align:start position:0% mean the curve will be lower and broader 00:06:42.120 --> 00:06:48.440 align:start position:0% mean the curve will be lower and broader and<00:06:42.450> the<00:06:42.780> standard<00:06:43.200> deviation<00:06:43.770> greater<00:06:47.450> let's 00:06:48.440 --> 00:06:48.450 align:start position:0% and the standard deviation greater let's 00:06:48.450 --> 00:06:50.780 align:start position:0% and the standard deviation greater let's use<00:06:48.690> this<00:06:48.870> concept<00:06:49.410> to<00:06:49.620> see<00:06:50.490> how<00:06:50.730> many 00:06:50.780 --> 00:06:50.790 align:start position:0% use this concept to see how many 00:06:50.790 --> 00:06:53.690 align:start position:0% use this concept to see how many passengers<00:06:51.480> it<00:06:51.900> can<00:06:52.200> safely<00:06:52.620> carry<00:06:52.920> when 00:06:53.690 --> 00:06:53.700 align:start position:0% passengers it can safely carry when 00:06:53.700 --> 00:06:58.910 align:start position:0% passengers it can safely carry when taking<00:06:54.120> off<00:06:54.240> from<00:06:54.450> aspirin<00:06:54.990> airports<00:06:57.920> it's 00:06:58.910 --> 00:06:58.920 align:start position:0% taking off from aspirin airports it's 00:06:58.920 --> 00:07:00.440 align:start position:0% taking off from aspirin airports it's relatively<00:06:59.310> easy<00:06:59.430> to<00:06:59.670> determine<00:06:59.940> the<00:07:00.120> actual 00:07:00.440 --> 00:07:00.450 align:start position:0% relatively easy to determine the actual 00:07:00.450 --> 00:07:02.270 align:start position:0% relatively easy to determine the actual gross<00:07:00.900> weight<00:07:01.170> the<00:07:01.410> maximum<00:07:01.800> weight<00:07:02.010> that 00:07:02.270 --> 00:07:02.280 align:start position:0% gross weight the maximum weight that 00:07:02.280 --> 00:07:04.040 align:start position:0% gross weight the maximum weight that airplane<00:07:02.670> can<00:07:02.820> take<00:07:02.970> off<00:07:03.150> on<00:07:03.330> a<00:07:03.360> given<00:07:03.630> day<00:07:03.750> at 00:07:04.040 --> 00:07:04.050 align:start position:0% airplane can take off on a given day at 00:07:04.050 --> 00:07:05.450 align:start position:0% airplane can take off on a given day at a<00:07:04.110> certain<00:07:04.440> temperature<00:07:04.560> with<00:07:04.980> the<00:07:05.070> wind<00:07:05.280> at 00:07:05.450 --> 00:07:05.460 align:start position:0% a certain temperature with the wind at 00:07:05.460 --> 00:07:07.700 align:start position:0% a certain temperature with the wind at the<00:07:05.550> elevation<00:07:05.850> and<00:07:06.120> then<00:07:06.750> they<00:07:06.930> just<00:07:07.170> take 00:07:07.700 --> 00:07:07.710 align:start position:0% the elevation and then they just take 00:07:07.710 --> 00:07:09.140 align:start position:0% the elevation and then they just take the<00:07:07.830> gross<00:07:08.040> weight<00:07:08.250> subtract<00:07:08.700> out<00:07:08.880> the<00:07:09.000> empty 00:07:09.140 --> 00:07:09.150 align:start position:0% the gross weight subtract out the empty 00:07:09.150 --> 00:07:11.960 align:start position:0% the gross weight subtract out the empty weight<00:07:09.360> of<00:07:09.480> the<00:07:09.540> airplane<00:07:09.950> the<00:07:10.950> fuel<00:07:11.250> and<00:07:11.580> what 00:07:11.960 --> 00:07:11.970 align:start position:0% weight of the airplane the fuel and what 00:07:11.970 --> 00:07:14.300 align:start position:0% weight of the airplane the fuel and what they<00:07:12.090> have<00:07:12.210> left<00:07:12.450> is<00:07:12.660> payload<00:07:13.050> and<00:07:13.310> that's 00:07:14.300 --> 00:07:14.310 align:start position:0% they have left is payload and that's 00:07:14.310 --> 00:07:16.250 align:start position:0% they have left is payload and that's they<00:07:15.150> take<00:07:15.390> that<00:07:15.540> number<00:07:15.720> and<00:07:15.840> figure<00:07:16.140> out<00:07:16.169> how 00:07:16.250 --> 00:07:16.260 align:start position:0% they take that number and figure out how 00:07:16.260 --> 00:07:17.900 align:start position:0% they take that number and figure out how many<00:07:16.320> passengers<00:07:16.890> they<00:07:17.010> can<00:07:17.160> carry<00:07:17.370> based<00:07:17.669> on 00:07:17.900 --> 00:07:17.910 align:start position:0% many passengers they can carry based on 00:07:17.910 --> 00:07:20.900 align:start position:0% many passengers they can carry based on average<00:07:18.480> weights<00:07:19.520> let's<00:07:20.520> look<00:07:20.669> at<00:07:20.820> the 00:07:20.900 --> 00:07:20.910 align:start position:0% average weights let's look at the 00:07:20.910 --> 00:07:23.330 align:start position:0% average weights let's look at the capacity<00:07:21.270> of<00:07:21.570> the<00:07:21.750> typical<00:07:22.230> aircraft<00:07:22.740> used<00:07:23.130> at 00:07:23.330 --> 00:07:23.340 align:start position:0% capacity of the typical aircraft used at 00:07:23.340 --> 00:07:28.640 align:start position:0% capacity of the typical aircraft used at aspirin<00:07:24.380> the<00:07:25.380> BAE<00:07:25.740> 146<00:07:26.510> 300<00:07:27.510> has<00:07:27.990> a<00:07:28.020> maximum 00:07:28.640 --> 00:07:28.650 align:start position:0% aspirin the BAE 146 300 has a maximum 00:07:28.650 --> 00:07:31.430 align:start position:0% aspirin the BAE 146 300 has a maximum takeoff<00:07:29.070> weight<00:07:29.340> of<00:07:29.720> forty<00:07:30.720> four<00:07:30.900> thousand 00:07:31.430 --> 00:07:31.440 align:start position:0% takeoff weight of forty four thousand 00:07:31.440 --> 00:07:34.220 align:start position:0% takeoff weight of forty four thousand two<00:07:31.590> hundred<00:07:31.890> and<00:07:31.980> twenty<00:07:32.280> five<00:07:32.310> kilos<00:07:33.230> at 00:07:34.220 --> 00:07:34.230 align:start position:0% two hundred and twenty five kilos at 00:07:34.230 --> 00:07:37.880 align:start position:0% two hundred and twenty five kilos at Aspen's<00:07:34.710> altitude<00:07:35.370> of<00:07:35.660> 2,400<00:07:36.660> meters<00:07:36.810> and<00:07:37.200> a 00:07:37.880 --> 00:07:37.890 align:start position:0% Aspen's altitude of 2,400 meters and a 00:07:37.890 --> 00:07:40.730 align:start position:0% Aspen's altitude of 2,400 meters and a temperature<00:07:38.400> of<00:07:38.430> 27<00:07:39.090> degrees<00:07:39.390> Celsius<00:07:39.900> the 00:07:40.730 --> 00:07:40.740 align:start position:0% temperature of 27 degrees Celsius the 00:07:40.740 --> 00:07:43.010 align:start position:0% temperature of 27 degrees Celsius the maximum<00:07:41.220> gross<00:07:41.490> weight<00:07:41.520> drops<00:07:42.120> to<00:07:42.419> thirty 00:07:43.010 --> 00:07:43.020 align:start position:0% maximum gross weight drops to thirty 00:07:43.020 --> 00:07:44.690 align:start position:0% maximum gross weight drops to thirty three<00:07:43.350> thousand<00:07:43.770> four<00:07:44.370> hundred<00:07:44.520> and 00:07:44.690 --> 00:07:44.700 align:start position:0% three thousand four hundred and 00:07:44.700 --> 00:07:47.190 align:start position:0% three thousand four hundred and seventy-five<00:07:45.390> kilograms 00:07:47.190 --> 00:07:47.200 align:start position:0% seventy-five kilograms 00:07:47.200 --> 00:07:49.750 align:start position:0% seventy-five kilograms so<00:07:48.200> this<00:07:48.320> means<00:07:48.560> that<00:07:48.680> the<00:07:48.860> airline<00:07:49.250> must<00:07:49.550> shed 00:07:49.750 --> 00:07:49.760 align:start position:0% so this means that the airline must shed 00:07:49.760 --> 00:07:52.450 align:start position:0% so this means that the airline must shed weight<00:07:50.000> carrying<00:07:50.990> less<00:07:51.200> fuel<00:07:51.530> passengers<00:07:52.280> and 00:07:52.450 --> 00:07:52.460 align:start position:0% weight carrying less fuel passengers and 00:07:52.460 --> 00:07:55.810 align:start position:0% weight carrying less fuel passengers and baggage<00:07:53.290> to<00:07:54.290> calculate<00:07:54.770> how<00:07:54.950> many<00:07:55.010> passengers 00:07:55.810 --> 00:07:55.820 align:start position:0% baggage to calculate how many passengers 00:07:55.820 --> 00:07:58.030 align:start position:0% baggage to calculate how many passengers and<00:07:56.000> bags<00:07:56.210> to<00:07:56.420> leave<00:07:56.630> behind<00:07:56.810> the<00:07:57.560> airlines 00:07:58.030 --> 00:07:58.040 align:start position:0% and bags to leave behind the airlines 00:07:58.040 --> 00:08:03.630 align:start position:0% and bags to leave behind the airlines use<00:07:58.340> averages<00:07:59.120> provided<00:07:59.960> by<00:08:00.080> the<00:08:00.140> FAA<00:08:02.530> until 00:08:03.630 --> 00:08:03.640 align:start position:0% use averages provided by the FAA until 00:08:03.640 --> 00:08:07.930 align:start position:0% use averages provided by the FAA until 1995<00:08:04.640> they<00:08:05.570> used<00:08:05.810> an<00:08:05.990> average<00:08:06.140> of<00:08:06.560> 72<00:08:07.100> point<00:08:07.610> 6 00:08:07.930 --> 00:08:07.940 align:start position:0% 1995 they used an average of 72 point 6 00:08:07.940 --> 00:08:12.330 align:start position:0% 1995 they used an average of 72 point 6 kilos<00:08:08.390> per<00:08:08.420> person<00:08:09.170> then<00:08:10.360> 77<00:08:11.360> kilos<00:08:11.570> until 00:08:12.330 --> 00:08:12.340 align:start position:0% kilos per person then 77 kilos until 00:08:12.340 --> 00:08:16.240 align:start position:0% kilos per person then 77 kilos until 2004<00:08:13.340> and<00:08:13.640> then<00:08:14.630> it<00:08:14.780> was<00:08:14.870> increased<00:08:15.290> to<00:08:15.410> 86 00:08:16.240 --> 00:08:16.250 align:start position:0% 2004 and then it was increased to 86 00:08:16.250 --> 00:08:20.410 align:start position:0% 2004 and then it was increased to 86 point<00:08:16.550> 2<00:08:16.790> kilos<00:08:17.240> in<00:08:17.930> the<00:08:18.230> summer<00:08:18.500> and<00:08:19.420> 88.5 00:08:20.410 --> 00:08:20.420 align:start position:0% point 2 kilos in the summer and 88.5 00:08:20.420 --> 00:08:22.990 align:start position:0% point 2 kilos in the summer and 88.5 kilos<00:08:20.960> in<00:08:21.170> the<00:08:21.260> winter<00:08:21.650> to<00:08:22.310> include<00:08:22.580> the<00:08:22.730> extra 00:08:22.990 --> 00:08:23.000 align:start position:0% kilos in the winter to include the extra 00:08:23.000 --> 00:08:25.720 align:start position:0% kilos in the winter to include the extra clothing<00:08:23.660> now<00:08:24.200> these<00:08:24.470> changes<00:08:24.950> of<00:08:25.280> course 00:08:25.720 --> 00:08:25.730 align:start position:0% clothing now these changes of course 00:08:25.730 --> 00:08:27.970 align:start position:0% clothing now these changes of course reflect<00:08:26.510> the<00:08:26.630> increasing<00:08:27.200> obesity<00:08:27.530> of<00:08:27.860> the 00:08:27.970 --> 00:08:27.980 align:start position:0% reflect the increasing obesity of the 00:08:27.980 --> 00:08:32.230 align:start position:0% reflect the increasing obesity of the population<00:08:30.130> so<00:08:31.130> if<00:08:31.220> an<00:08:31.340> airplane<00:08:31.640> must<00:08:31.970> shed 00:08:32.230 --> 00:08:32.240 align:start position:0% population so if an airplane must shed 00:08:32.240 --> 00:08:35.650 align:start position:0% population so if an airplane must shed fifteen<00:08:33.200> hundred<00:08:33.530> and<00:08:33.560> fifty<00:08:33.920> one<00:08:34.100> kilos<00:08:34.660> it 00:08:35.650 --> 00:08:35.660 align:start position:0% fifteen hundred and fifty one kilos it 00:08:35.660 --> 00:08:41.940 align:start position:0% fifteen hundred and fifty one kilos it must<00:08:35.870> leave<00:08:36.080> eighteen<00:08:36.920> passengers<00:08:37.520> behind 00:08:41.940 --> 00:08:41.950 align:start position:0% 00:08:41.950 --> 00:08:45.580 align:start position:0% during<00:08:42.950> the<00:08:43.100> summer<00:08:43.370> they<00:08:44.590> automatically 00:08:45.580 --> 00:08:45.590 align:start position:0% during the summer they automatically 00:08:45.590 --> 00:08:48.420 align:start position:0% during the summer they automatically block<00:08:45.890> out<00:08:46.160> 15<00:08:46.670> seats<00:08:47.030> they<00:08:47.480> don't<00:08:47.690> sell<00:08:47.990> them 00:08:48.420 --> 00:08:48.430 align:start position:0% block out 15 seats they don't sell them 00:08:48.430 --> 00:08:52.090 align:start position:0% block out 15 seats they don't sell them on<00:08:49.430> certain<00:08:50.150> flights<00:08:50.540> if<00:08:51.140> they<00:08:51.500> have<00:08:51.650> a<00:08:51.680> warmer 00:08:52.090 --> 00:08:52.100 align:start position:0% on certain flights if they have a warmer 00:08:52.100 --> 00:08:54.010 align:start position:0% on certain flights if they have a warmer day<00:08:52.130> than<00:08:52.580> they<00:08:52.700> anticipated<00:08:53.000> or<00:08:53.630> the<00:08:53.750> winds 00:08:54.010 --> 00:08:54.020 align:start position:0% day than they anticipated or the winds 00:08:54.020 --> 00:08:57.070 align:start position:0% day than they anticipated or the winds Iran<00:08:54.320> they<00:08:55.190> will<00:08:55.490> bump<00:08:56.090> somebody 00:08:57.070 --> 00:08:57.080 align:start position:0% Iran they will bump somebody 00:08:57.080 --> 00:09:00.430 align:start position:0% Iran they will bump somebody or<00:08:57.620> bump<00:08:57.890> their<00:08:58.040> baggage<00:08:59.320> occasionally<00:09:00.320> they 00:09:00.430 --> 00:09:00.440 align:start position:0% or bump their baggage occasionally they 00:09:00.440 --> 00:09:04.780 align:start position:0% or bump their baggage occasionally they just<00:09:00.709> bump<00:09:00.920> the<00:09:01.040> baggage<00:09:03.370> then<00:09:04.370> instead<00:09:04.610> of<00:09:04.670> a 00:09:04.780 --> 00:09:04.790 align:start position:0% just bump the baggage then instead of a 00:09:04.790 --> 00:09:06.130 align:start position:0% just bump the baggage then instead of a few<00:09:05.000> unhappy<00:09:05.149> individuals<00:09:05.810> you<00:09:05.870> have<00:09:05.899> an<00:09:06.050> ol 00:09:06.130 --> 00:09:06.140 align:start position:0% few unhappy individuals you have an ol 00:09:06.140 --> 00:09:10.389 align:start position:0% few unhappy individuals you have an ol airplane<00:09:06.529> full<00:09:06.740> of<00:09:06.860> them<00:09:08.470> the<00:09:09.470> FAA<00:09:09.740> I<00:09:09.890> used<00:09:10.220> a 00:09:10.389 --> 00:09:10.399 align:start position:0% airplane full of them the FAA I used a 00:09:10.399 --> 00:09:12.880 align:start position:0% airplane full of them the FAA I used a national<00:09:10.850> study<00:09:11.149> on<00:09:11.269> health<00:09:11.630> and<00:09:11.870> obesity<00:09:12.140> to 00:09:12.880 --> 00:09:12.890 align:start position:0% national study on health and obesity to 00:09:12.890 --> 00:09:15.069 align:start position:0% national study on health and obesity to determine<00:09:13.459> the<00:09:13.579> new<00:09:13.760> averages<00:09:14.329> for<00:09:14.540> passenger 00:09:15.069 --> 00:09:15.079 align:start position:0% determine the new averages for passenger 00:09:15.079 --> 00:09:18.160 align:start position:0% determine the new averages for passenger weights<00:09:16.149> now<00:09:17.149> let's<00:09:17.420> see<00:09:17.720> why<00:09:18.110> the 00:09:18.160 --> 00:09:18.170 align:start position:0% weights now let's see why the 00:09:18.170 --> 00:09:21.220 align:start position:0% weights now let's see why the authorities<00:09:18.709> are<00:09:19.190> so<00:09:19.370> strict<00:09:19.910> about<00:09:20.230> the 00:09:21.220 --> 00:09:21.230 align:start position:0% authorities are so strict about the 00:09:21.230 --> 00:09:25.930 align:start position:0% authorities are so strict about the loading<00:09:21.740> requirements<00:09:24.190> suppose<00:09:25.190> given<00:09:25.700> the 00:09:25.930 --> 00:09:25.940 align:start position:0% loading requirements suppose given the 00:09:25.940 --> 00:09:28.150 align:start position:0% loading requirements suppose given the flying<00:09:26.180> conditions<00:09:26.690> the<00:09:27.350> weight<00:09:27.560> of<00:09:27.709> the<00:09:27.769> crew 00:09:28.150 --> 00:09:28.160 align:start position:0% flying conditions the weight of the crew 00:09:28.160 --> 00:09:31.449 align:start position:0% flying conditions the weight of the crew the<00:09:28.700> baggage<00:09:29.060> etc<00:09:29.660> a<00:09:29.839> smallish<00:09:30.709> aircraft<00:09:31.190> can 00:09:31.449 --> 00:09:31.459 align:start position:0% the baggage etc a smallish aircraft can 00:09:31.459 --> 00:09:35.699 align:start position:0% the baggage etc a smallish aircraft can take<00:09:31.720> 6,000<00:09:32.720> kilograms<00:09:32.959> of<00:09:33.649> passenger<00:09:34.399> weight 00:09:35.699 --> 00:09:35.709 align:start position:0% take 6,000 kilograms of passenger weight 00:09:35.709 --> 00:09:39.100 align:start position:0% take 6,000 kilograms of passenger weight to<00:09:36.709> be<00:09:36.829> conservative<00:09:37.250> and<00:09:37.839> using<00:09:38.839> some 00:09:39.100 --> 00:09:39.110 align:start position:0% to be conservative and using some 00:09:39.110 --> 00:09:42.240 align:start position:0% to be conservative and using some average<00:09:39.769> of<00:09:40.100> the<00:09:40.279> weights<00:09:40.519> used<00:09:41.149> by<00:09:41.480> the<00:09:41.540> FAA 00:09:42.240 --> 00:09:42.250 align:start position:0% average of the weights used by the FAA 00:09:42.250 --> 00:09:44.949 align:start position:0% average of the weights used by the FAA let's<00:09:43.250> suppose<00:09:43.640> that<00:09:43.910> the<00:09:44.000> average<00:09:44.600> passenger 00:09:44.949 --> 00:09:44.959 align:start position:0% let's suppose that the average passenger 00:09:44.959 --> 00:09:47.560 align:start position:0% let's suppose that the average passenger weighs<00:09:45.529> ninety<00:09:46.430> one<00:09:46.640> point<00:09:47.060> six<00:09:47.360> six 00:09:47.560 --> 00:09:47.570 align:start position:0% weighs ninety one point six six 00:09:47.570 --> 00:09:49.650 align:start position:0% weighs ninety one point six six kilograms 00:09:49.650 --> 00:09:49.660 align:start position:0% kilograms 00:09:49.660 --> 00:09:52.980 align:start position:0% kilograms if<00:09:50.110> the<00:09:50.500> number<00:09:51.040> of<00:09:51.310> people<00:09:51.940> allowed<00:09:52.360> to<00:09:52.720> fly 00:09:52.980 --> 00:09:52.990 align:start position:0% if the number of people allowed to fly 00:09:52.990 --> 00:09:57.780 align:start position:0% if the number of people allowed to fly is<00:09:53.050> restricted<00:09:53.980> to<00:09:54.220> say<00:09:54.460> 60<00:09:55.950> 60<00:09:56.950> such<00:09:57.280> average 00:09:57.780 --> 00:09:57.790 align:start position:0% is restricted to say 60 60 such average 00:09:57.790 --> 00:10:01.200 align:start position:0% is restricted to say 60 60 such average people<00:09:58.030> would<00:09:58.720> weigh<00:09:58.950> 60<00:09:59.950> times<00:10:00.280> ninety<00:10:01.030> one 00:10:01.200 --> 00:10:01.210 align:start position:0% people would weigh 60 times ninety one 00:10:01.210 --> 00:10:03.810 align:start position:0% people would weigh 60 times ninety one point<00:10:01.480> six<00:10:01.840> six<00:10:02.020> kilograms<00:10:02.440> which<00:10:03.400> equals 00:10:03.810 --> 00:10:03.820 align:start position:0% point six six kilograms which equals 00:10:03.820 --> 00:10:08.670 align:start position:0% point six six kilograms which equals five<00:10:04.300> thousand<00:10:04.840> five<00:10:05.500> hundred<00:10:05.770> a<00:10:07.560> but<00:10:08.560> in 00:10:08.670 --> 00:10:08.680 align:start position:0% five thousand five hundred a but in 00:10:08.680 --> 00:10:10.980 align:start position:0% five thousand five hundred a but in practice<00:10:09.340> they<00:10:10.120> won't<00:10:10.360> all<00:10:10.540> be<00:10:10.810> the<00:10:10.960> same 00:10:10.980 --> 00:10:10.990 align:start position:0% practice they won't all be the same 00:10:10.990 --> 00:10:13.920 align:start position:0% practice they won't all be the same weight<00:10:11.470> and<00:10:11.740> the<00:10:12.700> standard<00:10:13.090> deviation<00:10:13.690> of<00:10:13.810> the 00:10:13.920 --> 00:10:13.930 align:start position:0% weight and the standard deviation of the 00:10:13.930 --> 00:10:16.770 align:start position:0% weight and the standard deviation of the passenger<00:10:14.470> weights<00:10:14.740> is<00:10:15.100> let's<00:10:15.550> say<00:10:15.820> fifteen 00:10:16.770 --> 00:10:16.780 align:start position:0% passenger weights is let's say fifteen 00:10:16.780 --> 00:10:19.890 align:start position:0% passenger weights is let's say fifteen hundred<00:10:17.170> kilograms 00:10:19.890 --> 00:10:19.900 align:start position:0% 00:10:19.900 --> 00:10:22.740 align:start position:0% now<00:10:20.529> by<00:10:20.710> setting<00:10:20.980> a<00:10:21.250> maximum<00:10:21.520> of<00:10:22.150> 60 00:10:22.740 --> 00:10:22.750 align:start position:0% now by setting a maximum of 60 00:10:22.750 --> 00:10:26.670 align:start position:0% now by setting a maximum of 60 passengers<00:10:23.050> is<00:10:24.390> there<00:10:25.390> any<00:10:25.540> chance<00:10:25.990> that<00:10:26.290> a 00:10:26.670 --> 00:10:26.680 align:start position:0% passengers is there any chance that a 00:10:26.680 --> 00:10:29.760 align:start position:0% passengers is there any chance that a random<00:10:27.370> selection<00:10:27.670> of<00:10:28.180> passengers<00:10:28.810> might 00:10:29.760 --> 00:10:29.770 align:start position:0% random selection of passengers might 00:10:29.770 --> 00:10:32.610 align:start position:0% random selection of passengers might weigh<00:10:30.040> more<00:10:30.400> than<00:10:30.460> the<00:10:30.900> 6,000<00:10:31.900> kilograms<00:10:32.110> of 00:10:32.610 --> 00:10:32.620 align:start position:0% weigh more than the 6,000 kilograms of 00:10:32.620 --> 00:10:36.690 align:start position:0% weigh more than the 6,000 kilograms of weight<00:10:32.860> that's<00:10:33.490> regarded<00:10:34.060> as<00:10:34.180> safe<00:10:35.700> it 00:10:36.690 --> 00:10:36.700 align:start position:0% weight that's regarded as safe it 00:10:36.700 --> 00:10:39.300 align:start position:0% weight that's regarded as safe it doesn't<00:10:36.760> seem<00:10:37.150> very<00:10:37.180> likely<00:10:37.680> but<00:10:38.680> let's<00:10:38.980> check 00:10:39.300 --> 00:10:39.310 align:start position:0% doesn't seem very likely but let's check 00:10:39.310 --> 00:10:42.390 align:start position:0% doesn't seem very likely but let's check it<00:10:39.460> out<00:10:39.610> by<00:10:40.390> using<00:10:40.690> our<00:10:41.020> understanding<00:10:41.860> of<00:10:41.980> the 00:10:42.390 --> 00:10:42.400 align:start position:0% it out by using our understanding of the 00:10:42.400 --> 00:10:45.140 align:start position:0% it out by using our understanding of the normal<00:10:42.760> distribution 00:10:45.140 --> 00:10:45.150 align:start position:0% 00:10:45.150 --> 00:10:47.310 align:start position:0% diagrammatically<00:10:46.150> the<00:10:46.690> problem<00:10:47.050> looks<00:10:47.230> like 00:10:47.310 --> 00:10:47.320 align:start position:0% diagrammatically the problem looks like 00:10:47.320 --> 00:10:50.640 align:start position:0% diagrammatically the problem looks like this<00:10:47.710> any<00:10:48.570> combined<00:10:49.570> weight<00:10:49.839> of<00:10:49.900> over<00:10:50.350> six 00:10:50.640 --> 00:10:50.650 align:start position:0% this any combined weight of over six 00:10:50.650 --> 00:10:54.750 align:start position:0% this any combined weight of over six thousand<00:10:51.190> kilograms<00:10:51.490> is<00:10:51.940> a<00:10:52.390> problem<00:10:53.490> the<00:10:54.490> mean 00:10:54.750 --> 00:10:54.760 align:start position:0% thousand kilograms is a problem the mean 00:10:54.760 --> 00:10:58.079 align:start position:0% thousand kilograms is a problem the mean is<00:10:55.320> five<00:10:56.320> thousand<00:10:56.890> five<00:10:57.160> hundred<00:10:57.430> kilograms 00:10:58.079 --> 00:10:58.089 align:start position:0% is five thousand five hundred kilograms 00:10:58.089 --> 00:11:01.530 align:start position:0% is five thousand five hundred kilograms so<00:10:58.779> typically<00:10:59.320> they'll<00:10:59.500> be<00:10:59.620> fine<00:11:00.390> but<00:11:01.390> we're 00:11:01.530 --> 00:11:01.540 align:start position:0% so typically they'll be fine but we're 00:11:01.540 --> 00:11:03.750 align:start position:0% so typically they'll be fine but we're interested<00:11:01.750> in<00:11:02.350> the<00:11:02.500> area<00:11:03.040> that's<00:11:03.250> greater 00:11:03.750 --> 00:11:03.760 align:start position:0% interested in the area that's greater 00:11:03.760 --> 00:11:08.490 align:start position:0% interested in the area that's greater than<00:11:04.180> six<00:11:04.480> thousand<00:11:04.990> kilograms<00:11:06.660> that's<00:11:07.660> the 00:11:08.490 --> 00:11:08.500 align:start position:0% than six thousand kilograms that's the 00:11:08.500 --> 00:11:10.410 align:start position:0% than six thousand kilograms that's the area<00:11:08.740> in<00:11:09.190> which<00:11:09.250> there<00:11:09.880> will<00:11:09.940> be<00:11:10.000> a<00:11:10.060> safety 00:11:10.410 --> 00:11:10.420 align:start position:0% area in which there will be a safety 00:11:10.420 --> 00:11:13.710 align:start position:0% area in which there will be a safety problem<00:11:11.520> now<00:11:12.520> the<00:11:12.550> total<00:11:12.880> area<00:11:13.210> under<00:11:13.480> the 00:11:13.710 --> 00:11:13.720 align:start position:0% problem now the total area under the 00:11:13.720 --> 00:11:16.050 align:start position:0% problem now the total area under the curve<00:11:13.960> gives<00:11:14.260> all<00:11:14.380> the<00:11:14.650> possibilities<00:11:15.279> and<00:11:15.490> is 00:11:16.050 --> 00:11:16.060 align:start position:0% curve gives all the possibilities and is 00:11:16.060 --> 00:11:19.079 align:start position:0% curve gives all the possibilities and is therefore<00:11:16.300> equal<00:11:16.630> to<00:11:16.930> one<00:11:17.370> how<00:11:18.370> can<00:11:18.430> we<00:11:18.790> find 00:11:19.079 --> 00:11:19.089 align:start position:0% therefore equal to one how can we find 00:11:19.089 --> 00:11:21.210 align:start position:0% therefore equal to one how can we find the<00:11:19.270> probability<00:11:20.050> for<00:11:20.320> the<00:11:20.440> occurrence<00:11:20.980> of 00:11:21.210 --> 00:11:21.220 align:start position:0% the probability for the occurrence of 00:11:21.220 --> 00:11:23.790 align:start position:0% the probability for the occurrence of anything<00:11:21.940> represented<00:11:22.660> by<00:11:22.810> just<00:11:22.839> the<00:11:23.350> shaded 00:11:23.790 --> 00:11:23.800 align:start position:0% anything represented by just the shaded 00:11:23.800 --> 00:11:27.090 align:start position:0% anything represented by just the shaded area<00:11:24.220> if<00:11:25.000> weight<00:11:25.900> can<00:11:26.110> be<00:11:26.140> represented<00:11:26.950> by<00:11:27.070> a 00:11:27.090 --> 00:11:27.100 align:start position:0% area if weight can be represented by a 00:11:27.100 --> 00:11:29.760 align:start position:0% area if weight can be represented by a bell<00:11:27.430> curve<00:11:27.630> all<00:11:28.630> we<00:11:28.870> need<00:11:29.080> to<00:11:29.200> know<00:11:29.380> is<00:11:29.560> the 00:11:29.760 --> 00:11:29.770 align:start position:0% bell curve all we need to know is the 00:11:29.770 --> 00:11:32.400 align:start position:0% bell curve all we need to know is the mean<00:11:30.070> average<00:11:30.279> and<00:11:30.700> the<00:11:31.390> standard<00:11:31.839> deviation 00:11:32.400 --> 00:11:32.410 align:start position:0% mean average and the standard deviation 00:11:32.410 --> 00:11:36.489 align:start position:0% mean average and the standard deviation and<00:11:32.620> we<00:11:33.580> can<00:11:33.730> calculate<00:11:34.029> that<00:11:34.420> area 00:11:36.489 --> 00:11:36.499 align:start position:0% and we can calculate that area 00:11:36.499 --> 00:11:38.619 align:start position:0% and we can calculate that area that<00:11:37.189> clearly<00:11:37.429> will<00:11:37.609> have<00:11:37.819> a<00:11:37.849> different<00:11:38.389> area 00:11:38.619 --> 00:11:38.629 align:start position:0% that clearly will have a different area 00:11:38.629 --> 00:11:41.229 align:start position:0% that clearly will have a different area for<00:11:39.199> every<00:11:39.649> value<00:11:39.919> of<00:11:40.189> mean<00:11:40.699> and<00:11:40.999> standard 00:11:41.229 --> 00:11:41.239 align:start position:0% for every value of mean and standard 00:11:41.239 --> 00:11:42.839 align:start position:0% for every value of mean and standard deviation 00:11:42.839 --> 00:11:42.849 align:start position:0% deviation 00:11:42.849 --> 00:11:45.329 align:start position:0% deviation but<00:11:43.849> there's<00:11:44.059> one<00:11:44.329> table<00:11:44.869> of<00:11:44.959> probabilities 00:11:45.329 --> 00:11:45.339 align:start position:0% but there's one table of probabilities 00:11:45.339 --> 00:11:48.969 align:start position:0% but there's one table of probabilities for<00:11:46.339> a<00:11:46.369> standard<00:11:47.149> normal<00:11:47.539> distribution<00:11:47.979> which 00:11:48.969 --> 00:11:48.979 align:start position:0% for a standard normal distribution which 00:11:48.979 --> 00:11:51.759 align:start position:0% for a standard normal distribution which has<00:11:49.189> a<00:11:49.219> mean<00:11:49.639> of<00:11:49.849> 0<00:11:50.179> and<00:11:50.569> a<00:11:51.259> standard<00:11:51.289> deviation 00:11:51.759 --> 00:11:51.769 align:start position:0% has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation 00:11:51.769 --> 00:11:57.219 align:start position:0% has a mean of 0 and a standard deviation equal<00:11:52.639> to<00:11:52.759> 1<00:11:54.219> so<00:11:55.219> first<00:11:55.639> we<00:11:56.539> can<00:11:56.749> convert<00:11:57.199> our 00:11:57.219 --> 00:11:57.229 align:start position:0% equal to 1 so first we can convert our 00:11:57.229 --> 00:11:59.949 align:start position:0% equal to 1 so first we can convert our values<00:11:57.889> into<00:11:58.189> standard<00:11:58.879> units<00:11:59.329> usually 00:11:59.949 --> 00:11:59.959 align:start position:0% values into standard units usually 00:11:59.959 --> 00:12:03.699 align:start position:0% values into standard units usually called<00:12:00.439> z-scores<00:12:01.599> and<00:12:02.599> our<00:12:02.809> formula<00:12:03.289> for 00:12:03.699 --> 00:12:03.709 align:start position:0% called z-scores and our formula for 00:12:03.709 --> 00:12:10.779 align:start position:0% called z-scores and our formula for doing<00:12:03.859> this<00:12:04.219> is<00:12:04.689> Z<00:12:06.069> equals<00:12:07.449> X<00:12:08.449> minus<00:12:08.689> mu<00:12:09.789> over 00:12:10.779 --> 00:12:10.789 align:start position:0% doing this is Z equals X minus mu over 00:12:10.789 --> 00:12:14.589 align:start position:0% doing this is Z equals X minus mu over Sigma<00:12:11.709> where<00:12:12.709> X<00:12:12.949> is<00:12:13.309> the<00:12:13.819> score<00:12:14.239> from<00:12:14.479> the 00:12:14.589 --> 00:12:14.599 align:start position:0% Sigma where X is the score from the 00:12:14.599 --> 00:12:18.369 align:start position:0% Sigma where X is the score from the original<00:12:15.139> normal<00:12:15.529> distribution<00:12:16.809> mu<00:12:17.809> is<00:12:18.079> the 00:12:18.369 --> 00:12:18.379 align:start position:0% original normal distribution mu is the 00:12:18.379 --> 00:12:20.499 align:start position:0% original normal distribution mu is the mean<00:12:18.859> of<00:12:19.129> the<00:12:19.249> original<00:12:19.789> normal<00:12:20.209> distribution 00:12:20.499 --> 00:12:20.509 align:start position:0% mean of the original normal distribution 00:12:20.509 --> 00:12:24.549 align:start position:0% mean of the original normal distribution and<00:12:21.309> Sigma<00:12:22.309> is<00:12:22.579> the<00:12:23.179> standard<00:12:23.539> deviation<00:12:23.809> of 00:12:24.549 --> 00:12:24.559 align:start position:0% and Sigma is the standard deviation of 00:12:24.559 --> 00:12:29.079 align:start position:0% and Sigma is the standard deviation of the<00:12:25.039> original<00:12:25.549> normal<00:12:25.999> distribution<00:12:26.599> and<00:12:28.089> Zed 00:12:29.079 --> 00:12:29.089 align:start position:0% the original normal distribution and Zed 00:12:29.089 --> 00:12:32.169 align:start position:0% the original normal distribution and Zed is<00:12:29.379> the<00:12:30.379> standardized<00:12:31.039> variable<00:12:31.789> it 00:12:32.169 --> 00:12:32.179 align:start position:0% is the standardized variable it 00:12:32.179 --> 00:12:33.909 align:start position:0% is the standardized variable it represents<00:12:32.929> the<00:12:33.109> number<00:12:33.349> of<00:12:33.559> standard 00:12:33.909 --> 00:12:33.919 align:start position:0% represents the number of standard 00:12:33.919 --> 00:12:36.369 align:start position:0% represents the number of standard deviations<00:12:34.819> above<00:12:35.239> or<00:12:35.479> below<00:12:35.629> the<00:12:35.959> mean<00:12:35.989> a 00:12:36.369 --> 00:12:36.379 align:start position:0% deviations above or below the mean a 00:12:36.379 --> 00:12:39.609 align:start position:0% deviations above or below the mean a particular<00:12:36.979> score<00:12:37.489> is<00:12:38.109> let's<00:12:39.109> see<00:12:39.289> how<00:12:39.439> that 00:12:39.609 --> 00:12:39.619 align:start position:0% particular score is let's see how that 00:12:39.619 --> 00:12:45.879 align:start position:0% particular score is let's see how that works<00:12:39.889> out<00:12:40.159> in<00:12:40.219> our<00:12:40.519> example<00:12:42.009> here<00:12:43.009> X<00:12:43.729> is<00:12:44.889> 6,000 00:12:45.879 --> 00:12:45.889 align:start position:0% works out in our example here X is 6,000 00:12:45.889 --> 00:12:50.259 align:start position:0% works out in our example here X is 6,000 kilograms<00:12:47.169> mu<00:12:48.169> the<00:12:48.529> mean<00:12:48.709> is<00:12:49.009> five<00:12:49.789> thousand 00:12:50.259 --> 00:12:50.269 align:start position:0% kilograms mu the mean is five thousand 00:12:50.269 --> 00:12:54.069 align:start position:0% kilograms mu the mean is five thousand five<00:12:50.449> hundred<00:12:50.689> kilograms<00:12:52.899> Sigma<00:12:53.899> the 00:12:54.069 --> 00:12:54.079 align:start position:0% five hundred kilograms Sigma the 00:12:54.079 --> 00:12:56.799 align:start position:0% five hundred kilograms Sigma the standard<00:12:54.109> deviation<00:12:55.069> is<00:12:55.419> fifteen<00:12:56.419> hundred 00:12:56.799 --> 00:12:56.809 align:start position:0% standard deviation is fifteen hundred 00:12:56.809 --> 00:13:02.289 align:start position:0% standard deviation is fifteen hundred kilograms<00:12:57.970> so<00:12:58.970> we<00:12:59.089> have<00:12:59.299> Z<00:13:00.109> equals<00:13:01.299> six 00:13:02.289 --> 00:13:02.299 align:start position:0% kilograms so we have Z equals six 00:13:02.299 --> 00:13:04.749 align:start position:0% kilograms so we have Z equals six thousand<00:13:02.839> minus<00:13:03.829> five<00:13:04.069> thousand<00:13:04.579> five 00:13:04.749 --> 00:13:04.759 align:start position:0% thousand minus five thousand five 00:13:04.759 --> 00:13:10.689 align:start position:0% thousand minus five thousand five hundred<00:13:06.369> divided<00:13:07.369> by<00:13:07.579> fifteen<00:13:08.479> hundred<00:13:09.699> but 00:13:10.689 --> 00:13:10.699 align:start position:0% hundred divided by fifteen hundred but 00:13:10.699 --> 00:13:14.259 align:start position:0% hundred divided by fifteen hundred but is<00:13:10.819> to<00:13:10.970> say<00:13:11.119> Z<00:13:11.449> equals<00:13:11.989> five<00:13:12.739> hundred<00:13:13.269> over 00:13:14.259 --> 00:13:14.269 align:start position:0% is to say Z equals five hundred over 00:13:14.269 --> 00:13:20.829 align:start position:0% is to say Z equals five hundred over fifteen<00:13:14.749> hundred<00:13:15.639> Z<00:13:16.639> equals<00:13:17.449> not<00:13:18.349> 0.33<00:13:19.749> now<00:13:20.749> if 00:13:20.829 --> 00:13:20.839 align:start position:0% fifteen hundred Z equals not 0.33 now if 00:13:20.839 --> 00:13:24.309 align:start position:0% fifteen hundred Z equals not 0.33 now if we<00:13:20.959> look<00:13:21.109> in<00:13:21.259> the<00:13:21.379> normal<00:13:22.339> tables<00:13:22.970> we<00:13:23.959> can<00:13:23.989> look 00:13:24.309 --> 00:13:24.319 align:start position:0% we look in the normal tables we can look 00:13:24.319 --> 00:13:26.829 align:start position:0% we look in the normal tables we can look down<00:13:24.349> the<00:13:24.529> left-hand<00:13:25.069> column<00:13:25.279> for<00:13:25.729> Z<00:13:25.939> equals 00:13:26.829 --> 00:13:26.839 align:start position:0% down the left-hand column for Z equals 00:13:26.839 --> 00:13:30.549 align:start position:0% down the left-hand column for Z equals nine<00:13:27.199> point<00:13:27.499> three<00:13:27.559> and<00:13:28.509> then<00:13:29.509> across<00:13:29.839> under 00:13:30.549 --> 00:13:30.559 align:start position:0% nine point three and then across under 00:13:30.559 --> 00:13:34.749 align:start position:0% nine point three and then across under naught<00:13:31.459> point<00:13:31.729> O<00:13:31.970> three<00:13:32.389> and<00:13:33.399> the<00:13:34.399> number<00:13:34.549> in 00:13:34.749 --> 00:13:34.759 align:start position:0% naught point O three and the number in 00:13:34.759 --> 00:13:37.389 align:start position:0% naught point O three and the number in the<00:13:34.879> table<00:13:35.089> is<00:13:35.419> the<00:13:35.569> tail<00:13:35.809> area<00:13:36.169> for<00:13:36.649> Z<00:13:36.859> equals 00:13:37.389 --> 00:13:37.399 align:start position:0% the table is the tail area for Z equals 00:13:37.399 --> 00:13:41.499 align:start position:0% the table is the tail area for Z equals naught<00:13:37.879> point<00:13:38.119> three<00:13:38.419> three<00:13:39.099> which<00:13:40.099> is<00:13:40.509> not 00:13:41.499 --> 00:13:41.509 align:start position:0% naught point three three which is not 00:13:41.509 --> 00:13:45.609 align:start position:0% naught point three three which is not point<00:13:41.869> three<00:13:42.259> seven<00:13:42.499> zero<00:13:42.799> seven<00:13:44.289> this<00:13:45.289> is<00:13:45.499> the 00:13:45.609 --> 00:13:45.619 align:start position:0% point three seven zero seven this is the 00:13:45.619 --> 00:13:48.069 align:start position:0% point three seven zero seven this is the probability<00:13:46.069> that<00:13:46.549> the<00:13:46.999> weight<00:13:47.269> will<00:13:47.599> exceed 00:13:48.069 --> 00:13:48.079 align:start position:0% probability that the weight will exceed 00:13:48.079 --> 00:13:49.060 align:start position:0% probability that the weight will exceed six 00:13:49.060 --> 00:13:49.070 align:start position:0% six 00:13:49.070 --> 00:13:52.210 align:start position:0% six and<00:13:49.250> kilograms<00:13:50.199> so<00:13:51.199> our<00:13:51.350> answer<00:13:51.740> is<00:13:51.769> that<00:13:51.920> the 00:13:52.210 --> 00:13:52.220 align:start position:0% and kilograms so our answer is that the 00:13:52.220 --> 00:13:54.040 align:start position:0% and kilograms so our answer is that the probability<00:13:52.610> that<00:13:53.149> the<00:13:53.389> total<00:13:53.899> weight 00:13:54.040 --> 00:13:54.050 align:start position:0% probability that the total weight 00:13:54.050 --> 00:13:58.689 align:start position:0% probability that the total weight exceeds<00:13:54.880> 6,000<00:13:55.880> kilograms<00:13:56.089> is<00:13:56.690> not<00:13:57.699> 0.37 00:13:58.689 --> 00:13:58.699 align:start position:0% exceeds 6,000 kilograms is not 0.37 00:13:58.699 --> 00:14:05.290 align:start position:0% exceeds 6,000 kilograms is not 0.37 correct<00:13:59.089> to<00:13:59.209> two<00:13:59.420> decimal<00:13:59.990> places<00:14:00.139> or<00:14:02.560> 37%<00:14:04.300> so 00:14:05.290 --> 00:14:05.300 align:start position:0% correct to two decimal places or 37% so 00:14:05.300 --> 00:14:07.930 align:start position:0% correct to two decimal places or 37% so given<00:14:05.690> our<00:14:05.779> assumptions<00:14:06.589> we<00:14:07.310> would<00:14:07.490> find<00:14:07.759> that 00:14:07.930 --> 00:14:07.940 align:start position:0% given our assumptions we would find that 00:14:07.940 --> 00:14:10.319 align:start position:0% given our assumptions we would find that such<00:14:08.240> a<00:14:08.269> restriction<00:14:08.810> on<00:14:09.110> passenger<00:14:09.740> numbers 00:14:10.319 --> 00:14:10.329 align:start position:0% such a restriction on passenger numbers 00:14:10.329 --> 00:14:13.660 align:start position:0% such a restriction on passenger numbers would<00:14:11.329> result<00:14:11.810> in<00:14:12.170> over<00:14:12.529> one-third<00:14:13.310> of<00:14:13.519> these 00:14:13.660 --> 00:14:13.670 align:start position:0% would result in over one-third of these 00:14:13.670 --> 00:14:16.990 align:start position:0% would result in over one-third of these planes<00:14:14.120> flying<00:14:14.600> with<00:14:15.230> a<00:14:15.259> weight<00:14:15.819> regarded<00:14:16.819> as 00:14:16.990 --> 00:14:17.000 align:start position:0% planes flying with a weight regarded as 00:14:17.000 --> 00:14:22.480 align:start position:0% planes flying with a weight regarded as too<00:14:17.839> great<00:14:18.230> to<00:14:18.949> be<00:14:19.100> safe<00:14:20.589> so<00:14:21.589> the<00:14:21.680> concept<00:14:22.220> of<00:14:22.370> a 00:14:22.480 --> 00:14:22.490 align:start position:0% too great to be safe so the concept of a 00:14:22.490 --> 00:14:25.480 align:start position:0% too great to be safe so the concept of a normal<00:14:23.000> distribution<00:14:23.209> is<00:14:24.130> highly<00:14:25.130> valuable 00:14:25.480 --> 00:14:25.490 align:start position:0% normal distribution is highly valuable 00:14:25.490 --> 00:14:28.210 align:start position:0% normal distribution is highly valuable in<00:14:25.759> making<00:14:26.120> sure<00:14:26.360> the<00:14:27.110> passengers<00:14:27.410> are<00:14:27.920> able 00:14:28.210 --> 00:14:28.220 align:start position:0% in making sure the passengers are able 00:14:28.220 --> 00:14:31.210 align:start position:0% in making sure the passengers are able to<00:14:28.250> fly<00:14:28.519> safely<00:14:29.259> one<00:14:30.259> way<00:14:30.440> of<00:14:30.560> taking<00:14:30.829> more 00:14:31.210 --> 00:14:31.220 align:start position:0% to fly safely one way of taking more 00:14:31.220 --> 00:14:33.819 align:start position:0% to fly safely one way of taking more passengers<00:14:31.910> safely<00:14:32.509> is<00:14:33.110> to<00:14:33.290> extend<00:14:33.709> the 00:14:33.819 --> 00:14:33.829 align:start position:0% passengers safely is to extend the 00:14:33.829 --> 00:14:36.879 align:start position:0% passengers safely is to extend the runway<00:14:35.110> recently<00:14:36.110> the<00:14:36.350> airport<00:14:36.769> began 00:14:36.879 --> 00:14:36.889 align:start position:0% runway recently the airport began 00:14:36.889 --> 00:14:39.550 align:start position:0% runway recently the airport began construction<00:14:37.790> to<00:14:38.300> add<00:14:38.449> a<00:14:38.480> thousand<00:14:39.110> feet<00:14:39.319> or 00:14:39.550 --> 00:14:39.560 align:start position:0% construction to add a thousand feet or 00:14:39.560 --> 00:14:42.600 align:start position:0% construction to add a thousand feet or 305<00:14:40.399> metres<00:14:40.910> to<00:14:41.600> the<00:14:41.720> length<00:14:41.930> of<00:14:42.199> the<00:14:42.350> runway 00:14:42.600 --> 00:14:42.610 align:start position:0% 305 metres to the length of the runway 00:14:42.610 --> 00:14:45.340 align:start position:0% 305 metres to the length of the runway well<00:14:43.610> the<00:14:43.759> longer<00:14:43.970> runway<00:14:44.360> will<00:14:44.839> will<00:14:45.170> help 00:14:45.340 --> 00:14:45.350 align:start position:0% well the longer runway will will help 00:14:45.350 --> 00:14:47.470 align:start position:0% well the longer runway will will help for<00:14:45.740> the<00:14:45.980> regional<00:14:46.430> jets<00:14:46.670> that<00:14:46.940> is<00:14:47.360> an 00:14:47.470 --> 00:14:47.480 align:start position:0% for the regional jets that is an 00:14:47.480 --> 00:14:49.150 align:start position:0% for the regional jets that is an airplane<00:14:47.750> that<00:14:47.870> is<00:14:48.079> runway<00:14:48.380> limited<00:14:48.920> out<00:14:49.040> of 00:14:49.150 --> 00:14:49.160 align:start position:0% airplane that is runway limited out of 00:14:49.160 --> 00:14:51.309 align:start position:0% airplane that is runway limited out of this<00:14:49.250> Airport<00:14:49.670> and<00:14:49.940> consequently<00:14:50.839> a<00:14:50.930> longer 00:14:51.309 --> 00:14:51.319 align:start position:0% this Airport and consequently a longer 00:14:51.319 --> 00:14:52.660 align:start position:0% this Airport and consequently a longer runway<00:14:51.620> means<00:14:51.800> they'll<00:14:52.100> be<00:14:52.190> able<00:14:52.250> to<00:14:52.370> take<00:14:52.490> off 00:14:52.660 --> 00:14:52.670 align:start position:0% runway means they'll be able to take off 00:14:52.670 --> 00:14:55.949 align:start position:0% runway means they'll be able to take off if<00:14:52.790> more<00:14:52.970> weight<00:14:53.149> on<00:14:53.360> a<00:14:53.389> given<00:14:53.750> day<00:14:54.130> it'll 00:14:55.949 --> 00:14:55.959 align:start position:0% if more weight on a given day it'll 00:14:55.959 --> 00:14:58.809 align:start position:0% if more weight on a given day it'll allow<00:14:56.959> me<00:14:56.990> to<00:14:57.319> take<00:14:57.440> off<00:14:57.620> slightly<00:14:57.920> heavier<00:14:58.399> or 00:14:58.809 --> 00:14:58.819 align:start position:0% allow me to take off slightly heavier or 00:14:58.819 --> 00:15:00.600 align:start position:0% allow me to take off slightly heavier or most<00:14:59.089> people<00:14:59.389> to<00:14:59.480> take<00:14:59.630> off<00:14:59.750> slightly<00:15:00.079> heavier 00:15:00.600 --> 00:15:00.610 align:start position:0% most people to take off slightly heavier 00:15:00.610 --> 00:15:03.579 align:start position:0% most people to take off slightly heavier this<00:15:01.610> additional<00:15:02.149> runway<00:15:02.540> length<00:15:02.839> makes<00:15:03.380> it 00:15:03.579 --> 00:15:03.589 align:start position:0% this additional runway length makes it 00:15:03.589 --> 00:15:05.470 align:start position:0% this additional runway length makes it possible<00:15:03.800> for<00:15:04.100> some<00:15:04.430> aircraft<00:15:04.850> to<00:15:05.060> take<00:15:05.269> off 00:15:05.470 --> 00:15:05.480 align:start position:0% possible for some aircraft to take off 00:15:05.480 --> 00:15:08.350 align:start position:0% possible for some aircraft to take off with<00:15:05.720> additional<00:15:06.380> load<00:15:06.620> one<00:15:07.610> aircraft<00:15:08.149> can 00:15:08.350 --> 00:15:08.360 align:start position:0% with additional load one aircraft can 00:15:08.360 --> 00:15:10.509 align:start position:0% with additional load one aircraft can carry<00:15:08.389> an<00:15:08.810> additional<00:15:08.959> one<00:15:09.769> five<00:15:10.130> eight<00:15:10.399> eight 00:15:10.509 --> 00:15:10.519 align:start position:0% carry an additional one five eight eight 00:15:10.519 --> 00:15:14.950 align:start position:0% carry an additional one five eight eight kilograms<00:15:11.360> or<00:15:11.660> an<00:15:12.290> additional<00:15:12.740> 18<00:15:13.220> passengers 00:15:14.950 --> 00:15:14.960 align:start position:0% kilograms or an additional 18 passengers 00:15:14.960 --> 00:15:16.870 align:start position:0% kilograms or an additional 18 passengers however<00:15:15.620> the<00:15:15.710> additional<00:15:15.950> Run<00:15:16.399> Road<00:15:16.580> length 00:15:16.870 --> 00:15:16.880 align:start position:0% however the additional Run Road length 00:15:16.880 --> 00:15:19.570 align:start position:0% however the additional Run Road length is<00:15:17.060> only<00:15:17.390> partly<00:15:17.930> effective<00:15:18.339> because<00:15:19.339> it<00:15:19.460> only 00:15:19.570 --> 00:15:19.580 align:start position:0% is only partly effective because it only 00:15:19.580 --> 00:15:22.300 align:start position:0% is only partly effective because it only affects<00:15:19.820> one<00:15:20.089> limitation<00:15:21.080> the<00:15:21.740> ability<00:15:22.220> of 00:15:22.300 --> 00:15:22.310 align:start position:0% affects one limitation the ability of 00:15:22.310 --> 00:15:25.810 align:start position:0% affects one limitation the ability of the<00:15:22.460> IRA<00:15:22.940> to<00:15:23.540> obtain<00:15:23.870> decision<00:15:24.410> speed<00:15:24.820> doesn't 00:15:25.810 --> 00:15:25.820 align:start position:0% the IRA to obtain decision speed doesn't 00:15:25.820 --> 00:15:28.090 align:start position:0% the IRA to obtain decision speed doesn't change<00:15:26.060> the<00:15:26.600> angle<00:15:26.990> of<00:15:27.080> climb<00:15:27.230> and<00:15:27.680> the 00:15:28.090 --> 00:15:28.100 align:start position:0% change the angle of climb and the 00:15:28.100 --> 00:15:29.620 align:start position:0% change the angle of climb and the ability<00:15:28.550> to<00:15:28.580> clear<00:15:28.940> the<00:15:29.089> surrounding 00:15:29.620 --> 00:15:29.630 align:start position:0% ability to clear the surrounding 00:15:29.630 --> 00:15:33.940 align:start position:0% ability to clear the surrounding mountains<00:15:31.720> there<00:15:32.720> are<00:15:32.899> many<00:15:33.080> instances<00:15:33.740> where 00:15:33.940 --> 00:15:33.950 align:start position:0% mountains there are many instances where 00:15:33.950 --> 00:15:37.389 align:start position:0% mountains there are many instances where weight<00:15:34.220> is<00:15:34.459> crucial<00:15:35.000> not<00:15:35.300> just<00:15:35.600> aircraft<00:15:36.399> for 00:15:37.389 --> 00:15:37.399 align:start position:0% weight is crucial not just aircraft for 00:15:37.399 --> 00:15:39.519 align:start position:0% weight is crucial not just aircraft for example<00:15:37.430> here<00:15:38.060> in<00:15:38.180> the<00:15:38.270> business<00:15:38.450> school<00:15:38.750> we 00:15:39.519 --> 00:15:39.529 align:start position:0% example here in the business school we 00:15:39.529 --> 00:15:41.230 align:start position:0% example here in the business school we don't<00:15:39.620> the<00:15:39.890> lift<00:15:40.130> to<00:15:40.310> the<00:15:40.430> staff<00:15:40.730> office<00:15:40.940> is 00:15:41.230 --> 00:15:41.240 align:start position:0% don't the lift to the staff office is 00:15:41.240 --> 00:15:43.780 align:start position:0% don't the lift to the staff office is continually<00:15:41.870> breaking<00:15:42.170> down<00:15:42.529> how<00:15:43.399> can<00:15:43.640> we 00:15:43.780 --> 00:15:43.790 align:start position:0% continually breaking down how can we 00:15:43.790 --> 00:15:45.760 align:start position:0% continually breaking down how can we reduce<00:15:43.970> the<00:15:44.390> chances<00:15:44.930> that<00:15:45.170> it'll<00:15:45.649> be 00:15:45.760 --> 00:15:45.770 align:start position:0% reduce the chances that it'll be 00:15:45.770 --> 00:15:49.060 align:start position:0% reduce the chances that it'll be overcrowded<00:15:47.320> we<00:15:48.320> can<00:15:48.470> use<00:15:48.709> our<00:15:48.920> understanding 00:15:49.060 --> 00:15:49.070 align:start position:0% overcrowded we can use our understanding 00:15:49.070 --> 00:15:53.110 align:start position:0% overcrowded we can use our understanding of<00:15:49.730> normal<00:15:50.180> distribution<00:15:51.550> we<00:15:52.550> can<00:15:52.580> work<00:15:52.910> out 00:15:53.110 --> 00:15:53.120 align:start position:0% of normal distribution we can work out 00:15:53.120 --> 00:15:54.610 align:start position:0% of normal distribution we can work out from<00:15:53.300> the<00:15:53.450> knowledge<00:15:53.779> of<00:15:53.899> the<00:15:53.959> way<00:15:54.200> the<00:15:54.380> school 00:15:54.610 --> 00:15:54.620 align:start position:0% from the knowledge of the way the school 00:15:54.620 --> 00:15:57.220 align:start position:0% from the knowledge of the way the school operates<00:15:55.070> that<00:15:55.940> the<00:15:56.060> mean<00:15:56.330> number<00:15:56.570> of<00:15:56.839> people 00:15:57.220 --> 00:15:57.230 align:start position:0% operates that the mean number of people 00:15:57.230 --> 00:16:00.280 align:start position:0% operates that the mean number of people using<00:15:57.440> the<00:15:57.740> lift<00:15:57.950> at<00:15:58.100> any<00:15:58.250> time<00:15:58.550> is<00:15:58.790> four<00:15:59.290> with 00:16:00.280 --> 00:16:00.290 align:start position:0% using the lift at any time is four with 00:16:00.290 --> 00:16:02.680 align:start position:0% using the lift at any time is four with a<00:16:00.320> standard<00:16:00.770> deviation<00:16:01.070> of<00:16:01.399> two<00:16:02.149> people 00:16:02.680 --> 00:16:02.690 align:start position:0% a standard deviation of two people 00:16:02.690 --> 00:16:05.860 align:start position:0% a standard deviation of two people here's<00:16:03.500> the<00:16:03.649> problem<00:16:03.980> if<00:16:04.940> the<00:16:05.089> manufacturer 00:16:05.860 --> 00:16:05.870 align:start position:0% here's the problem if the manufacturer 00:16:05.870 --> 00:16:08.170 align:start position:0% here's the problem if the manufacturer and<00:16:06.230> the<00:16:06.410> architects<00:16:06.950> of<00:16:07.100> the<00:16:07.250> building<00:16:07.670> have 00:16:08.170 --> 00:16:08.180 align:start position:0% and the architects of the building have 00:16:08.180 --> 00:16:10.240 align:start position:0% and the architects of the building have calculated<00:16:08.810> that<00:16:08.959> the<00:16:09.230> lift<00:16:09.470> can<00:16:09.680> hold<00:16:09.980> up<00:16:10.220> to 00:16:10.240 --> 00:16:10.250 align:start position:0% calculated that the lift can hold up to 00:16:10.250 --> 00:16:13.000 align:start position:0% calculated that the lift can hold up to eight<00:16:10.640> people<00:16:11.060> or<00:16:11.779> six<00:16:12.350> hundred<00:16:12.500> and<00:16:12.770> thirty 00:16:13.000 --> 00:16:13.010 align:start position:0% eight people or six hundred and thirty 00:16:13.010 --> 00:16:17.350 align:start position:0% eight people or six hundred and thirty kilograms<00:16:14.529> one<00:16:15.529> of<00:16:15.649> the<00:16:15.709> chances<00:16:16.310> that<00:16:16.490> eight 00:16:17.350 --> 00:16:17.360 align:start position:0% kilograms one of the chances that eight 00:16:17.360 --> 00:16:19.930 align:start position:0% kilograms one of the chances that eight or<00:16:17.720> more<00:16:18.020> people<00:16:18.350> will<00:16:18.950> use<00:16:19.250> the<00:16:19.459> lift<00:16:19.700> at<00:16:19.880> the 00:16:19.930 --> 00:16:19.940 align:start position:0% or more people will use the lift at the 00:16:19.940 --> 00:16:22.620 align:start position:0% or more people will use the lift at the same<00:16:20.180> time 00:16:22.620 --> 00:16:22.630 align:start position:0% 00:16:22.630 --> 00:16:25.319 align:start position:0% notice<00:16:23.440> that<00:16:24.009> there's<00:16:24.250> an<00:16:24.370> assumption<00:16:24.790> that 00:16:25.319 --> 00:16:25.329 align:start position:0% notice that there's an assumption that 00:16:25.329 --> 00:16:29.040 align:start position:0% notice that there's an assumption that each<00:16:26.230> person<00:16:26.829> here<00:16:27.220> weighs<00:16:28.149> on<00:16:28.540> average 00:16:29.040 --> 00:16:29.050 align:start position:0% each person here weighs on average 00:16:29.050 --> 00:16:33.499 align:start position:0% each person here weighs on average seventy<00:16:29.949> eight<00:16:30.069> point<00:16:30.399> seven<00:16:30.670> five<00:16:31.120> kilograms 00:16:33.499 --> 00:16:33.509 align:start position:0% seventy eight point seven five kilograms 00:16:33.509 --> 00:16:37.139 align:start position:0% seventy eight point seven five kilograms given<00:16:34.509> a<00:16:34.600> normal<00:16:35.050> distribution<00:16:35.699> we<00:16:36.699> can<00:16:36.850> first 00:16:37.139 --> 00:16:37.149 align:start position:0% given a normal distribution we can first 00:16:37.149 --> 00:16:40.290 align:start position:0% given a normal distribution we can first find<00:16:37.360> the<00:16:37.720> z-score<00:16:38.050> with<00:16:38.589> our<00:16:38.740> formula<00:16:39.300> Z 00:16:40.290 --> 00:16:40.300 align:start position:0% find the z-score with our formula Z 00:16:40.300 --> 00:16:47.129 align:start position:0% find the z-score with our formula Z equals<00:16:41.139> X<00:16:41.589> minus<00:16:42.130> mu<00:16:42.819> over<00:16:43.029> Sigma<00:16:45.060> so<00:16:46.060> Z<00:16:46.779> in<00:16:46.990> our 00:16:47.129 --> 00:16:47.139 align:start position:0% equals X minus mu over Sigma so Z in our 00:16:47.139 --> 00:16:57.740 align:start position:0% equals X minus mu over Sigma so Z in our case<00:16:47.500> is<00:16:47.889> 8<00:16:49.139> minus<00:16:50.139> 4<00:16:51.180> over<00:16:52.180> 2<00:16:53.910> which<00:16:54.910> gives<00:16:54.940> 2 00:16:57.740 --> 00:16:57.750 align:start position:0% 00:16:57.750 --> 00:17:00.150 align:start position:0% looking<00:16:58.750> at<00:16:58.899> the<00:16:58.990> Zed<00:16:59.170> table<00:16:59.620> we<00:16:59.709> find<00:16:59.740> out 00:17:00.150 --> 00:17:00.160 align:start position:0% looking at the Zed table we find out 00:17:00.160 --> 00:17:03.620 align:start position:0% looking at the Zed table we find out that<00:17:00.370> the<00:17:00.550> z-score<00:17:00.819> of<00:17:01.149> 2<00:17:02.190> corresponds<00:17:03.190> to 00:17:03.620 --> 00:17:03.630 align:start position:0% that the z-score of 2 corresponds to 00:17:03.630 --> 00:17:07.640 align:start position:0% that the z-score of 2 corresponds to naught<00:17:04.630> point<00:17:04.959> nine<00:17:05.439> seven<00:17:06.159> seven<00:17:06.760> two 00:17:07.640 --> 00:17:07.650 align:start position:0% naught point nine seven seven two 00:17:07.650 --> 00:17:12.029 align:start position:0% naught point nine seven seven two that<00:17:08.650> is<00:17:08.799> to<00:17:08.980> say<00:17:09.449> ninety<00:17:10.449> seven<00:17:10.839> point<00:17:11.079> seven 00:17:12.029 --> 00:17:12.039 align:start position:0% that is to say ninety seven point seven 00:17:12.039 --> 00:17:15.329 align:start position:0% that is to say ninety seven point seven two<00:17:12.429> percent<00:17:13.059> of<00:17:13.240> the<00:17:13.360> time<00:17:13.799> less<00:17:14.799> than<00:17:15.069> eight 00:17:15.329 --> 00:17:15.339 align:start position:0% two percent of the time less than eight 00:17:15.339 --> 00:17:17.579 align:start position:0% two percent of the time less than eight people<00:17:15.880> are<00:17:16.059> wanting<00:17:16.780> to<00:17:16.809> use<00:17:16.929> the<00:17:17.260> lift<00:17:17.470> at 00:17:17.579 --> 00:17:17.589 align:start position:0% people are wanting to use the lift at 00:17:17.589 --> 00:17:21.120 align:start position:0% people are wanting to use the lift at the<00:17:17.650> same<00:17:17.740> time<00:17:18.809> but<00:17:19.809> we<00:17:19.990> were<00:17:20.140> asked<00:17:20.589> what's 00:17:21.120 --> 00:17:21.130 align:start position:0% the same time but we were asked what's 00:17:21.130 --> 00:17:23.189 align:start position:0% the same time but we were asked what's the<00:17:21.339> proportion<00:17:21.549> of<00:17:22.150> the<00:17:22.270> time<00:17:22.539> that<00:17:22.780> more 00:17:23.189 --> 00:17:23.199 align:start position:0% the proportion of the time that more 00:17:23.199 --> 00:17:26.240 align:start position:0% the proportion of the time that more than<00:17:23.470> eight<00:17:23.709> people<00:17:24.010> wish<00:17:24.730> to<00:17:24.939> use<00:17:25.120> the<00:17:25.299> lift 00:17:26.240 --> 00:17:26.250 align:start position:0% than eight people wish to use the lift 00:17:26.250 --> 00:17:29.610 align:start position:0% than eight people wish to use the lift this<00:17:27.250> is<00:17:27.459> easy<00:17:27.669> to<00:17:27.909> calculate<00:17:28.169> since<00:17:29.169> the<00:17:29.350> area 00:17:29.610 --> 00:17:29.620 align:start position:0% this is easy to calculate since the area 00:17:29.620 --> 00:17:32.549 align:start position:0% this is easy to calculate since the area under<00:17:30.220> the<00:17:30.340> curve<00:17:30.669> is<00:17:30.940> one<00:17:31.390> or<00:17:31.870> a<00:17:32.200> hundred 00:17:32.549 --> 00:17:32.559 align:start position:0% under the curve is one or a hundred 00:17:32.559 --> 00:17:36.960 align:start position:0% under the curve is one or a hundred percent<00:17:33.240> then<00:17:34.240> the<00:17:34.360> proportion<00:17:34.780> of<00:17:35.610> eight<00:17:36.610> or 00:17:36.960 --> 00:17:36.970 align:start position:0% percent then the proportion of eight or 00:17:36.970 --> 00:17:39.680 align:start position:0% percent then the proportion of eight or more<00:17:37.360> people<00:17:37.750> wishing<00:17:38.350> to<00:17:38.500> use<00:17:38.530> the<00:17:38.799> lift<00:17:39.280> is 00:17:39.680 --> 00:17:39.690 align:start position:0% more people wishing to use the lift is 00:17:39.690 --> 00:17:44.399 align:start position:0% more people wishing to use the lift is exactly<00:17:40.690> one<00:17:41.409> -<00:17:42.309> naught<00:17:43.240> point<00:17:43.539> nine<00:17:43.900> seven 00:17:44.399 --> 00:17:44.409 align:start position:0% exactly one - naught point nine seven 00:17:44.409 --> 00:17:49.500 align:start position:0% exactly one - naught point nine seven seven<00:17:44.740> two<00:17:45.720> which<00:17:46.720> equals<00:17:47.549> null<00:17:48.549> point<00:17:48.940> zero 00:17:49.500 --> 00:17:49.510 align:start position:0% seven two which equals null point zero 00:17:49.510 --> 00:17:56.909 align:start position:0% seven two which equals null point zero two<00:17:49.570> three<00:17:50.110> or<00:17:52.080> two<00:17:53.080> point<00:17:53.440> three<00:17:53.590> percent<00:17:55.919> so 00:17:56.909 --> 00:17:56.919 align:start position:0% two three or two point three percent so 00:17:56.919 --> 00:17:59.100 align:start position:0% two three or two point three percent so it's<00:17:57.039> only<00:17:57.159> very<00:17:57.429> occasionally<00:17:57.850> that<00:17:58.840> more 00:17:59.100 --> 00:17:59.110 align:start position:0% it's only very occasionally that more 00:17:59.110 --> 00:18:00.960 align:start position:0% it's only very occasionally that more than<00:17:59.380> eight<00:17:59.679> people<00:18:00.010> will<00:18:00.370> turn<00:18:00.640> up<00:18:00.789> at<00:18:00.940> the 00:18:00.960 --> 00:18:00.970 align:start position:0% than eight people will turn up at the 00:18:00.970 --> 00:18:03.810 align:start position:0% than eight people will turn up at the same<00:18:01.270> time<00:18:01.570> to<00:18:01.780> use<00:18:01.960> the<00:18:02.140> lift<00:18:02.370> the<00:18:03.370> chances 00:18:03.810 --> 00:18:03.820 align:start position:0% same time to use the lift the chances 00:18:03.820 --> 00:18:07.289 align:start position:0% same time to use the lift the chances are<00:18:03.909> only<00:18:04.210> around<00:18:04.480> one<00:18:04.809> in<00:18:04.960> 50<00:18:05.669> notice<00:18:06.669> there 00:18:07.289 --> 00:18:07.299 align:start position:0% are only around one in 50 notice there 00:18:07.299 --> 00:18:09.120 align:start position:0% are only around one in 50 notice there are<00:18:07.419> normal<00:18:07.809> distribution<00:18:08.380> tables<00:18:08.799> giving 00:18:09.120 --> 00:18:09.130 align:start position:0% are normal distribution tables giving 00:18:09.130 --> 00:18:11.970 align:start position:0% are normal distribution tables giving p-values<00:18:09.880> greater<00:18:10.299> than<00:18:10.539> X<00:18:10.720> as<00:18:10.990> we<00:18:11.530> used<00:18:11.799> in 00:18:11.970 --> 00:18:11.980 align:start position:0% p-values greater than X as we used in 00:18:11.980 --> 00:18:14.640 align:start position:0% p-values greater than X as we used in our<00:18:12.070> first<00:18:12.429> example<00:18:13.059> and<00:18:13.380> tables<00:18:14.380> giving 00:18:14.640 --> 00:18:14.650 align:start position:0% our first example and tables giving 00:18:14.650 --> 00:18:17.549 align:start position:0% our first example and tables giving p-values<00:18:15.340> less<00:18:15.789> than<00:18:16.000> X<00:18:16.179> that<00:18:16.870> we've<00:18:17.080> used<00:18:17.289> to 00:18:17.549 --> 00:18:17.559 align:start position:0% p-values less than X that we've used to 00:18:17.559 --> 00:18:22.039 align:start position:0% p-values less than X that we've used to solve<00:18:17.799> our<00:18:17.980> lift<00:18:18.280> problem 00:18:22.039 --> 00:18:22.049 align:start position:0% 00:18:22.049 --> 00:18:25.169 align:start position:0% we<00:18:23.049> began<00:18:23.350> by<00:18:23.409> saying<00:18:23.860> that<00:18:24.399> aircraft<00:18:24.580> have<00:18:25.149> to 00:18:25.169 --> 00:18:25.179 align:start position:0% we began by saying that aircraft have to 00:18:25.179 --> 00:18:27.450 align:start position:0% we began by saying that aircraft have to operate<00:18:25.720> within<00:18:25.990> a<00:18:26.139> wide<00:18:26.379> margin<00:18:26.740> of<00:18:27.190> error<00:18:27.370> to 00:18:27.450 --> 00:18:27.460 align:start position:0% operate within a wide margin of error to 00:18:27.460 --> 00:18:30.930 align:start position:0% operate within a wide margin of error to ensure<00:18:27.970> safety<00:18:28.799> an<00:18:29.799> understanding<00:18:30.700> of<00:18:30.820> the 00:18:30.930 --> 00:18:30.940 align:start position:0% ensure safety an understanding of the 00:18:30.940 --> 00:18:33.659 align:start position:0% ensure safety an understanding of the normal<00:18:31.419> distribution<00:18:32.129> makes<00:18:33.129> that<00:18:33.460> very 00:18:33.659 --> 00:18:33.669 align:start position:0% normal distribution makes that very 00:18:33.669 --> 00:18:35.239 align:start position:0% normal distribution makes that very clear 00:18:35.239 --> 00:18:35.249 align:start position:0% clear 00:18:35.249 --> 00:18:37.649 align:start position:0% clear but<00:18:36.249> as<00:18:36.370> we<00:18:36.490> shall<00:18:36.669> see<00:18:36.850> in<00:18:36.970> our<00:18:37.090> next<00:18:37.480> film 00:18:37.649 --> 00:18:37.659 align:start position:0% but as we shall see in our next film 00:18:37.659 --> 00:18:39.389 align:start position:0% but as we shall see in our next film there<00:18:37.929> are<00:18:37.960> many<00:18:38.230> other<00:18:38.409> examples<00:18:39.129> of<00:18:39.220> data 00:18:39.389 --> 00:18:39.399 align:start position:0% there are many other examples of data 00:18:39.399 --> 00:18:41.369 align:start position:0% there are many other examples of data that<00:18:40.029> will<00:18:40.240> conform<00:18:40.600> to<00:18:40.720> a<00:18:40.899> normal 00:18:41.369 --> 00:18:41.379 align:start position:0% that will conform to a normal 00:18:41.379 --> 00:18:44.489 align:start position:0% that will conform to a normal distribution<00:18:41.649> not<00:18:42.610> just<00:18:42.820> weight<00:18:43.379> so<00:18:44.379> the 00:18:44.489 --> 00:18:44.499 align:start position:0% distribution not just weight so the 00:18:44.499 --> 00:18:46.320 align:start position:0% distribution not just weight so the techniques<00:18:44.919> based<00:18:45.249> on<00:18:45.429> such<00:18:45.639> a<00:18:45.669> distribution 00:18:46.320 --> 00:18:46.330 align:start position:0% techniques based on such a distribution 00:18:46.330 --> 00:18:49.980 align:start position:0% techniques based on such a distribution or<00:18:46.539> widespread<00:18:47.499> use<00:18:48.100> across<00:18:49.090> the<00:18:49.600> social 00:18:49.980 --> 00:18:49.990 align:start position:0% or widespread use across the social 00:18:49.990 --> 00:19:06.870 align:start position:0% or widespread use across the social sciences 00:19:06.870 --> 00:19:06.880 align:start position:0% 00:19:06.880 --> 00:19:11.510 align:start position:0% Oh 00:19:11.510 --> 00:19:11.520 align:start position:0% 00:19:11.520 --> 00:19:13.580 align:start position:0% you